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A multiplicative cascade can be thought of as a randomization of a measure on the boundary of a tree, constructed from an iid collection of random variables attached to the tree vertices. Given an initial measure with certain regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Tom Alberts , Ben Rifkind

In this paper, a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with underlying fast dynamic is studied. Using a "penalty method" , an averaging result is obtained when the underlying dynamic is infinitely accelerated. The features of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexandre Genadot

In this work, we consider a finite-state inhomogeneous-time Markov chain whose probabilities of transition from one state to another tend to decrease over time. This can be seen as a cooling of the dynamics of an underlying Markov chain. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

We provide a representation of the maximal difference between a standard Brownian bridge and its concave majorant on the unit interval, from which we deduce expressions for the distribution and density functions and moments of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-05 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Jim Pitman

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We consider statistical Markov Decision Processes where the decision maker is risk averse against model ambiguity. The latter is given by an unknown parameter which influences the transition law and the cost functions. Risk aversion is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

Sparse parametric models are of great interest in statistical learning and are often analyzed by means of regularized estimators. Pathwise methods allow to efficiently compute the full solution path for penalized estimators, for any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Alessandro De Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Aldéric Joulin , Yann Ollivier

In this article we study the convex hull spanned by the union of trajectories of a standard planar Brownian motion, and an independent standard planar Brownian bridge. We find exact values of the expectation of perimeter and area of such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Stjepan Šebek

In this paper, we study the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge process (i.e. the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process conditioned to start and end at fixed points) constraints to have a fixed area under its path. We present both anticipative (in this case, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Alain Mazzolo

Mandelbrot multiplicative cascades provide a construction of a dynamical system on a set of probability measures defined by inequalities on moments. To be more specific, beyond the first iteration, the trajectories take values in the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-11 Julien Barral , Jacques Peyriere , Zhi-Ying Wen

Consideration is given to the three different analytical methods for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime of one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. This class is…

The final purpose of this paper is to show that, by inserting a convexity constraint on the cables of a suspension bridge, the torsional instability of the deck appears at lower energy thresholds. Since this constraint is suggested by the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Graziano Crasta , Alessio Falocchi , Filippo Gazzola

We consider the problem of conditioning a Markov process on a rare event and of representing this conditioned process by a conditioning-free process, called the effective or driven process. The basic assumption is that the rare event used…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

We derive new concentration bounds for time averages of measurement outcomes in quantum Markov processes. This generalizes well-known bounds for classical Markov chains which provide constraints on finite time fluctuations of time-additive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Federico Girotti , Juan P. Garrahan , Mădălin Guţă

This article is concerned with the Bridge Regression, which is a special family in penalized regression with penalty function $\sum_{j=1}^{p}|\beta_j|^q$ with $q>0$, in a linear model with linear restrictions. The proposed restricted bridge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Mohammad Arashi , Fikri Akdeniz

As an example for the fast calculation of distributional parameters of Gaussian processes, we propose a new Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of quantiles of the supremum norm of weighted Brownian bridges. As it is known, the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Jürgen Franke , Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm , Klaus Ritter , Stefanie Schwaar