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Related papers: Shape-constrained uncertainty quantification in un…

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Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

Real-time crack segmentation is vital for structural health monitoring but is plagued by aleatoric uncertainties arising from varying lighting, blur, and texture ambiguity. Current uncertainty-aware approaches typically treat uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Conghui Li , Huanyu He , Xin Wang , Weiyao Lin , Chern Hong Lim

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric framework for mean-variance optimization that enables inference on economically motivated shape constraints in finance, including positivity, monotonicity, and convexity. Many central hypotheses in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Rohan Sen

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

An uncertainty quantification framework is developed for Eulerian-Lagrangian models of particle-laden flows, where the fluid is modeled through a system of partial differential equations in the Eulerian frame and inertial particles are…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-11-01 Vasileios Fountoulakis , H. S. Udaykumar , Gustaaf B. Jacobs

Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Hoffmann , Ines Fortmeier , Clemens Elster

A comprehensive uncertainty estimation is vital for the precision program of the LHC. While experimental uncertainties are often described by stochastic processes and well-defined nuisance parameters, theoretical uncertainties lack such a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-08 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman , Tilman Plehn , Lily Shire , Tim M. P. Tait , Daniel Whiteson

We derive multiscale statistics for deconvolution in order to detect qualitative features of the unknown density. An important example covered within this framework is to test for local monotonicity on all scales simultaneously. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Axel Munk , Lutz Duembgen

Band theory provides the foundation for understanding electronic structure in crystalline materials, but its reliance on exact translational symmetry limits its applicability to systems with defects, disorder, incommensurate modulations, or…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-08 Christopher A. Bairnsfather , Ralph M. Kaufmann , Terry A. Loring , Alexander Cerjan

We revisit the Extended Uncertainty Principle (EUP) from an operational viewpoint, replacing wavefunction-based widths with apparatus-defined position constraints such as a finite slit of width $\Delta x$ or a geodesic ball of radius $R$.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Thomas Schürmann

A selection of unfolding methods commonly used in High Energy Physics is compared. The methods discussed here are: bin-by-bin correction factors, matrix inversion, template fit, Tikhonov regularisation and two examples of iterative methods.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-05 Stefan Schmitt

We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini

We propose a data-driven approach to quantify the uncertainty of models constructed by kernel methods. Our approach minimizes the needed distributional assumptions, hence, instead of working with, for example, Gaussian processes or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Krisztián Balázs Kis

Uncertainty estimation aims to evaluate the confidence of a trained deep neural network. However, existing uncertainty estimation approaches rely on low-dimensional distributional assumptions and thus suffer from the high dimensionality of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Tsai Hor Chan , Kin Wai Lau , Jiajun Shen , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

In many experimental contexts, it is necessary to statistically remove the impact of instrumental effects in order to physically interpret measurements. This task has been extensively studied in particle physics, where the deconvolution…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-17 Huanbiao Zhu , Krish Desai , Mikael Kuusela , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman , Larry Wasserman

Semi-Definite Programming (SDP) with low-rank prior has been widely applied in Non-Rigid Structure from Motion (NRSfM). Based on a low-rank constraint, it avoids the inherent ambiguity of basis number selection in conventional base-shape or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Jingwei Song , Mitesh Patel , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari

Uncertain knowledge graph embedding (UnKGE) methods learn vector representations that capture both structural and uncertainty information to predict scores of unseen triples. However, existing methods produce only point estimates, without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuqicheng Zhu , Jingcheng Wu , Yizhen Wang , Hongkuan Zhou , Jiaoyan Chen , Evgeny Kharlamov , Steffen Staab

Model correction is essential for reliable PDE learning when the governing physics is misspecified due to simplified assumptions or limited observations. In the machine learning literature, existing correction methods typically operate in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Wenwen Zhou , Xiaodong Feng , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

This paper presents a novel end-to-end framework for closed-form computation and visualization of critical point uncertainty in 2D uncertain scalar fields. Critical points are fundamental topological descriptors used in the visualization…

Eliminating the effect of confounding in observational studies typically involves fitting a model for an outcome adjusted for covariates. When, as often, these covariates are high-dimensional, this necessitates the use of sparse estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt