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The block maxima method is a standard approach for analyzing the extremal behavior of a potentially multivariate time series. It has recently been found that the classical approach based on disjoint block maxima may be universally improved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-04 Sebastian M. Schmon , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

The paper considers the block sampling method for long-range dependent processes. Our theory generalizes earlier ones by Hall, Jing and Lahiri (1998) on functionals of Gaussian processes and Nordman and Lahiri (2005) on linear processes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Ting Zhang , Hwai-Chung Ho , Martin Wendler , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the problem of uniform sampling of points on an algebraic variety. Specifically, we develop a randomized algorithm that, given a small set of multivariate polynomials over a sufficiently large finite field, produces a common…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2009-02-10 Mahdi Cheraghchi , Amin Shokrollahi

A model-free bootstrap procedure for a general class of stationary time series is introduced. The theoretical framework is established, showing asymptotic validity of bootstrap confidence intervals for many statistics of interest. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Yiren Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

We present a general non-parametric statistical inference theory for integrals of quantiles without assuming any specific sampling design or dependence structure. Technical considerations are accompanied by examples and discussions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Nadezhda Gribkova , Mengqi Wang , Ričardas Zitikis

We introduce neural particle smoothing, a sequential Monte Carlo method for sampling annotations of an input string from a given probability model. In contrast to conventional particle filtering algorithms, we train a proposal distribution…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Chu-Cheng Lin , Jason Eisner

The pseudo-marginal (PM) approach is increasingly used for Bayesian inference in statistical models, where the likelihood is intractable but can be estimated unbiasedly. %Examples include random effect models, state-space models and data…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn , M. Quiroz , M. Villani

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

Based on Beurling's theory of balayage, we develop the theory of non-uniform sampling in the context of the theory of frames for the settings of the Short Time Fourier Transform and pseudo-differential operators. There is sufficient…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-10 Enrico Au-Yeung , John J. Benedetto

A distributed average consensus algorithm in which every sensor transmits with bounded peak power is proposed. In the presence of communication noise, it is shown that the nodes reach consensus asymptotically to a finite random variable…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Sivaraman Dasarathan , Cihan Tepedelenlioglu , Mahesh Banavar , Andreas Spanias

The stochastic block model (SBM) is a probabilistic model de- signed to describe heterogeneous directed and undirected graphs. In this paper, we address the asymptotic inference on SBM by use of maximum- likelihood and variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Alain Celisse , J. -J. Daudin , Laurent Pierre

This paper is part of series on self-contained papers in which a large part, if not the full extent, of the asymptotic limit theory of summands of independent random variables is exposed. Each paper of the series may be taken as review…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Aladji Babacar Niang , Gane Samb Lo , Moumouni Diallo

In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

This paper proposes a novel method of algorithmic subsampling (data sketching) for multiway cluster dependent data. We establish a new uniform weak law of large numbers and a new central limit theorem for the multiway algorithmic subsample…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-15 Harold D. Chiang , Jiatong Li , Yuya Sasaki

If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-06 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

Inspired by sample splitting and the reusable holdout introduced in the field of differential privacy, we consider selective inference with a randomized response. We discuss two major advantages of using a randomized response for model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Xiaoying Tian , Jonathan E. Taylor