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This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. In Part I, we begin by identifying a class of social processes which are simultaneously important in applications and difficult to predict using…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-17 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

This paper analyses social media data in multiple disaster-related collections of floods and heat waves in the UK. The proposed method uses machine learning classifiers based on deep bidirectional neural networks trained on benchmark…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Victor Ponce-López , Catalina Spataru

Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

Distributed consensus has been widely studied for sensor network applications. Whereas the asymptotic convergence rate has been extensively explored in prior work, other important and practical issues, including energy efficiency and link…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Lei Chen , Jeff Frolik

We propose a joint event and temporal relation extraction model with shared representation learning and structured prediction. The proposed method has two advantages over existing work. First, it improves event representation by allowing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Rujun Han , Qiang Ning , Nanyun Peng

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

Flood quantile estimation is of great importance for many engineering studies and policy decisions. However, practitioners must often deal with small data available. Thus, the information must be used optimally. In the last decades, to…

Applications · Statistics 2009-11-13 Mathieu Ribatet , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon

In order to allow machine learning algorithms to extract knowledge from raw data, these data must first be cleaned, transformed, and put into machine-appropriate form. These often very time-consuming phase is referred to as preprocessing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 David Cemernek

Query expansion is the process of reformulating the original query by adding relevant words. Choosing which terms to add in order to improve the performance of the query expansion methods or to enhance the quality of the retrieved results…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Farah Alshanik , Amy Apon , Yuheng Du , Alexander Herzog , Ilya Safro

Predictions and generations from large language models are increasingly being explored as an aid in limited data regimes, such as in computational social science and human subjects research. While prior technical work has mainly explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yewon Byun , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary C. Lipton , Rachel Leah Childers , Bryan Wilder

Social media can be used for disaster risk reduction as a complement to traditional information sources, and the literature has suggested numerous ways to achieve this. In the case of floods, for instance, data collection from social media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Valerio Lorini , Carlos Castillo , Domenico Nappo , Francesco Dottori , Peter Salamon

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

Reliable detection and classification of power system events are critical for maintaining grid stability and situational awareness. Existing approaches often depend on limited labeled datasets, which restricts their ability to generalize to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-22 Yi Hu , Zheyuan Cheng

The source detection problem in network analysis involves identifying the origins of diffusion processes, such as disease outbreaks or misinformation propagation. Traditional methods often focus on single sources, whereas real-world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Haomin Li , Daniel K. Sewell

Multimedia content in social media platforms provides significant information during disaster events. The types of information shared include reports of injured or deceased people, infrastructure damage, and missing or found people, among…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-27 Ferda Ofli , Firoj Alam , Muhammad Imran

Geophysical inverse problems are often ill-posed and admit multiple solutions. Conventional discriminative methods typically yield a single deterministic solution, which fails to model the posterior distribution, cannot generate diverse…

This paper aims to address the challenge of data generation beyond the training data and proposes a framework for Structural Extrapolated Data GEneration (SEDGE) based on suitable assumptions on the underlying data-generating process. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Kun Zhang , Jiaqi Sun , Yiqing Li , Ignavier Ng , Namrata Deka , Shaoan Xie

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

Combining data has become an indispensable tool for managing the current diversity and abundance of data. But, as data complexity and data volume swell, the computational demands of previously proposed models for combining data escalate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Mario Figueira , David Conesa , Antonio López-Quílez , Iosu Paradinas

Natural disasters ravage the world's cities, valleys, and shores on a regular basis. Deploying precise and efficient computational mechanisms for assessing infrastructure damage is essential to channel resources and minimize the loss of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Thomas Y. Chen
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