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Potentially impacting asteroids were analysed for their impact risk on the Earth. To this end, the Asteroid Risk Mitigation Optimization and Research (ARMOR) tool is currently being developed. The tool's modules are described and their…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-02-23 Clemens Rumpf

ESA and NASA maintain asteroid hazard lists that contain all known asteroids with a non zero chance of colliding with the Earth in the future. Some software tools exist that are, either, capable of calculating the impact points of those…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-25 Clemens M. Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

An asteroid impact is a low probability event with potentially devastating consequences. The Asteroid Risk Mitigation Optimization and Research (ARMOR) software tool calculates whether a colliding asteroid experiences an airburst or surface…

Space Physics · Physics 2017-02-21 Clemens M. Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

Near-Earth objects (NEOs) have the potential to cause extensive damage and loss of life on Earth. Advancements in NEO discovery, trajectory prediction, and deflection technology indicate that an impact could be prevented, with sufficient…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-06 C. R. Nugent , K. P. Andersen , James M. Bauer , C. T. Jensen , L. K. Kristiansen , C. P. Hansen , M. M. Nielsen , C. F. Vestergård

Close encounters of Near Earth Objects (NEOs) with large asteroids are a possible source of systematic errors in trajectory propagations and asteroid mitigation. It is, thus, necessary to identify those large asteroids that have to be…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 Anatoliy Ivantsov , Siegfried Eggl , Daniel Hestroffer , William Thuillot , Pini Gurfil

In this paper we define the a posteriori probability W. This quantity is introduced with the aim of suggesting a reliable interpretation of the actual threat posed by a newly discovered Near Earth Asteroid (NEA), for which impacting orbital…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Germano D'Abramo

The catalog of km-sized near-Earth objects (NEOs) is nearly complete. Typical impact monitoring analyses search for possible impacts over the next 100 years and none of the km-sized objects represent an impact threat over that time…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 Oscar Fuentes-Muñoz , Daniel J. Scheeres , Davide Farnocchia , Ryan S. Park

Summary: In the past decade both scientists and laymen have probably heard at least once through the newspapers, TV and Internet that a new asteroid has been discovered with non-zero (sometimes "high") probability of collision with the…

Space Physics · Physics 2013-04-29 Germano D'Abramo

Near Earth Objects (NEOs) are a transient population of small bodies with orbits near or in the terrestrial planet region. They represent a mid-stage in the dynamical cycle of asteroids and comets, which starts with their removal from the…

Robust impact monitoring of near-Earth objects is an essential task of planetary defense. Current systems such as NASA's Sentry-II, the University of Pisa's CLOMON2, and ESA's Aegis have been highly successful, but independent approaches…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Dmitrii E. Vavilov , Daniel Hestroffer

We present an automated system called NEORANGER that regularly computes asteroid-Earth impact probabilities for objects on the Minor Planet Center's (MPC) Near-Earth-Object Confirmation Page (NEOCP) and sends out alerts of imminent…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-12 Otto Solin , Mikael Granvik

By means of a fully connected artificial neural network, we identified asteroids with the potential to impact Earth. The resulting instrument, named the Hazardous Object Identifier (HOI), was trained on the basis of an artificial set of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-05 John D. Hefele , Francesco Bortolussi , Simon Portegies Zwart

In the past two decades an increasing interest in discovering Near Earth Objects has been noted in the astronomical community. Dedicated surveys have been operated for data acquisition and processing, resulting in the present discovery of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-10 T. Stefanut , V. Bacu , C. Nandra , D. Balasz , D. Gorgan , O. Vaduvescu

Imminent impactors are natural bodies discovered in space before impacting the Earth. They provide a rare opportunity to characterize individual near-Earth objects (NEOs) in great detail as asteroids in space, meteors in Earth's atmosphere…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-09 Ian Chow , Mario Jurić , R. Lynne Jones , Kathleen Kiker , Joachim Moeyens , Peter G. Brown , Aren N. Heinze , Jacob A. Kurlander

This paper presents a robust linear method for impact probability estimation of near-Earth asteroids with the Earth. This method is a significantly modified and improved method, which uses a special curvilinear coordinate system associated…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Dmitrii E. Vavilov

Asteroids colliding with planets vary in composition and taxonomical type. Among Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are the V-types, basaltic asteroids that are classified via spectroscopic observations. In this work, we study the probability of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-31 M. A. Galiazzo , E. A. Silber , D. Bancelin

Among the currently known Near Earth Objects (NEOs), roughly 1400 are classified as being potentially hazardous asteroids. The recent Chelyabinsk event has shown that these objects can pose a real threat to mankind. We illustrate that high…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-19 Siegfried Eggl , Anatoliy Ivantsov , Daniel Hestroffer , Davide Perna , David Bancelin , William Thuillot

The interest in the problem of small asteroids observed shortly before a deep close approach or an impact with the Earth has grown a lot in recent years. Since the observational dataset of such objects is very limited, they deserve…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-20 Alessio Del Vigna , Linda Dimare , Davide Bracali Cioci

We introduce NEOviz, an interactive visualization system designed to assist planetary defense experts in the visual analysis of the movements of near-Earth objects in the Solar System that might prove hazardous to Earth. Asteroids are often…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-06 Fangfei Lan , Malin Ejdbo , Joachim Moeyens , Bei Wang , Anders Ynnerman , Alexander Bock

In the last decades Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) have become very important targets to study, since they can give us clues to the formation, evolution and composition of the Solar System. In addition, they may represent either a threat to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-24 S. Ieva , E. Dotto , D. Perna , M. A. Barucci , F. Bernardi , S. Fornasier , F. De Luise , E. Perozzi , A. Rossi , J. R. Brucato
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