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The block maxima (BM) approach in extreme value analysis fits a sample of block maxima to the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. We consider all potential blocks from a sample, which leads to the All Block Maxima (ABM) estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jochem Oorschot , Chen Zhou

We develop Stein's method for the Fr\'echet distribution and apply it to compute rates of convergence in distribution of renormalized sample maxima to the Fr\'echet distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-18 Carine Bartholmé , Yvik Swan

Parametric inference for spatial max-stable processes is difficult since the related likelihoods are unavailable. A composite likelihood approach based on the bivariate distribution of block maxima has been recently proposed in the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-08 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan

In this paper we consider the estimation problem for high quantiles of a heavy-tailed distribution from block data when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. We propose estimators for high quantiles and prove that these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Yongcheng Qi , Mengzi Xie , Jingping Yang

One of the most common anticipated difficulties in applying mainstream maximum likelihood inference upon extreme values is articulated on the scarcity of extreme observations for bringing the extreme value theorem to hold across a series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-28 Christopher Jeffree , Cláudia Neves

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic framework for likelihood-based inference in the Block Maxima (BM) method for stationary time series. While Bayesian inference under the BM approach has been widely studied in the independence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-24 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Maximum likelihood estimations for the parameters of extreme value distributions are discussed in this paper using fixed point iteration. The commonly used numerical approach for addressing this problem is the Newton-Raphson approach which…

Computation · Statistics 2009-02-03 Tewfik Kernane , Zohrh A. Raizah

The H\"usler-Reiss distribution describes the limit of the pointwise maxima of a bivariate normal distribution. This distribution is defined by a single parameter, $\lambda$. We provide asymptotic theory for maximum likelihood estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Hank Flury , Jan Hannig , Richard Smith

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of the Fr\'echet distribution from both frequentist and Bayesian points of view. First we briefly describe different frequentist approaches, namely, maximum likelihood,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pedro Luiz Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Eduardo Ramos , Sanku Dey

The extreme statistics of time signals is studied when the maximum is measured from the initial value. In the case of independent, identically distributed (iid) variables, we classify the limiting distribution of the maximum according to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 T. W. Burkhardt , G. Gyorgyi , N. R. Moloney , Z. Racz

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

The block maxima approach is an important method in univariate extreme value analysis. While assuming that block maxima are independent results in straightforward analysis, the resulting inferences maybe invalid when a series of block…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-24 Brook T. Russell , Whitney K. Huang

In this paper we show that the so-called array Fr\'echet problem in Probability/Statistics is (max, +)-linear. The upper bound of Fr\'echet is obtained using simple arguments from residuation theory and lattice distributivity. The lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-04-16 Laurent Truffet

Classical extreme value statistics consists of two fundamental approaches: the block maxima (BM) method and the peak-over-threshold (POT) approach. It seems to be general consensus among researchers in the field that the POT method makes…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Axel Bücher , Chen Zhou

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

Full likelihood-based inference for high-dimensional multivariate extreme value distributions, or max-stable processes, is feasible when incorporating occurrence times of the maxima; without this information, $d$-dimensional likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-01 J. L. Wadsworth

Software for computation of maximum likelihood estimates in linear structural equation models typically employs general techniques from non-linear optimization, such as quasi-Newton methods. In practice, careful tuning of initial values is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-12 Mathias Drton , Christopher Fox , Y. Samuel Wang