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We show that when a high-dimensional data matrix is the sum of a low-rank matrix and a random error matrix with independent entries, the low-rank component can be consistently estimated by solving a convex minimization problem. We develop a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-14 Jushan Bai , Junlong Feng

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

The Markowitz problem consists of finding in a financial market a self-financing trading strategy whose final wealth has maximal mean and minimal variance. We study this in continuous time in a general semimartingale model and under cone…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-04 Christoph Czichowsky , Martin Schweizer

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

We consider a stochastic game-theoretic model of an investment market in continuous time with short-lived assets and study strategies, called survival, which guarantee that the relative wealth of an investor who uses such a strategy remains…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-06 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

In this paper we examine the claims reserving problem using Tweedie's compound Poisson model. We develop the maximum likelihood and Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation approaches to fit the model and then compare the estimated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-10 Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Mario V. Wüthrich

We consider a continuous-time game-theoretic model of an investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous asset prices. The first goal of the paper is to formulate a stochastic equation which determines wealth processes of investors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We address a novel approach for stochastic individual-based modelling of a single species population. Individuals are distinguished by their remaining lifetimes, which are regulated by the interplay between the inexorable running of time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-08 Luis R. T. Neves , Leonardo Paulo Maia

We consider a class of biologically-motivated stochastic processes in which a unicellular organism divides its resources (volume or damaged proteins, in particular) symmetrically or asymmetrically between its progeny. Assuming the final…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-20 Andrew Marantan , Ariel Amir

Regulatory requirements dictate that financial institutions must calculate risk capital (funds that must be retained to cover future losses) at least annually. Procedures for doing this have been well-established for many years, but recent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-22 Peter Mitic

The paper deals with the problem of controlling the state of industrial devices according to the readings of their sensors. The current methods rely on one approach to feature extraction in which the prediction occurs. We proposed a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Dmitry Zhevnenko , Mikhail Kazantsev , Ilya Makarov

Models of stochastic choice typically use conditional choice probabilities given menus as the primitive for analysis, but in the field these are often hard to observe. Moreover, studying preferences over menus is not possible with this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-19 Yaron Azrieli , John Rehbeck

We introduce two stochastic chemostat models consisting in a coupled population-nutrient process reflecting the interaction between the nutrient and the bacterias in the chemostat with finite volume. The nutrient concentration evolves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Meleard , Jaime San Martin

Efficiently accommodating uncertain renewable resources in wholesale electricity markets is among the foremost priorities of market regulators in the US, UK and EU nations. However, existing deterministic market designs fail to internalize…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Yury Dvorkin

We study the concentration phenomenon for discrete-time random dynamical systems with an unbounded state space. We develop a heuristic approach towards obtaining exponential concentration inequalities for dynamical systems using an entirely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

We design a stochastic individual-based model structured in energy, for single species consuming an external resource, where populations are characterized by a typical energy at birth in $\mathbb{R}^{*}_{+}$. The resource is maintained at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Sylvain Billiard , Virgile Brodu , Nicolas Champagnat , Coralie Fritsch

We derive the first conditionally consistent estimators for a class of parametric Markov population models with logistic growth, which are suitable for modelling endangered populations in restricted habitats with a carrying capacity. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Abbas Kazemipour , Sina Miran , Piya Pal , Behtash Babadi , Min Wu

In this paper, we study the global stability properties of a multi-agent model of natural resource consumption that balances ecological and social network components in determining the consumption behavior of a group of agents. The social…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Sebastian F. Ruf , Matthew T. Hale , Talha Manzoor , Abubakr Muhammad

We show that a steady-state stock-flow consistent macro-economic model can be represented as a Constraint Satisfaction Problem (CSP).The set of solutions is a polytope, which volume depends on the constraintsapplied and reveals the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-08 Aurélien Hazan