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We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Jamie Halliday , Georgi N. Boshnakov

We prove a representation of the partial autocorrelation function (PACF), or the Verblunsky coefficients, of a stationary process in terms of the AR and MA coefficients. We apply it to show the asymptotic behaviour of the PACF. We also…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Akihiko Inoue

We derive a closed-form expression for the finite predictor coefficients of multivariate ARMA (autoregressive moving-average) processes. The expression is given in terms of several explicit matrices that are of fixed sizes independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Akihiko Inoue

A quantity of interest to characterise continuous-valued stochastic processes is the differential entropy rate. The rate of convergence of many properties of LRD processes is slower than might be expected, based on the intuition for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

Chaotic dynamics with sensitive dependence on initial conditions may result in exponential decay of correlation functions. We show that for one-dimensional interval maps the corresponding quantities, that is, Lyapunov exponents and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Julia Slipantschuk , Oscar F. Bandtlow , Wolfram Just

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of abstract strongly coupled hyperbolic equations with one infinite memory term is investigated, one specific case of which is the model for describing the dynamical behaviour of magnetic effected…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Hai E Zhang , Gen Qi Xu , Zhong Jie Han

In this paper we suggest two continuous-time models which exhibit an autoregressive structure. We obtain existence and uniqueness results and study the structure of the solution processes. One of the models, which corresponds to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen , Victor Rohde

This work presents numerical evidences that for discrete dynamical systems with one positive Lyapunov exponent the decay of the distance autocorrelation is always related to the Lyapunov exponent. Distinct decay laws for the distance…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-06-12 C. F. O. Mendes , R. M. da Silva , M. W. Beims

We focus on emergence of the power-law cross-correlations from processes with both short and long term memory properties. In the case of correlated error-terms, the power-law decay of the cross-correlation function comes automatically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Ladislav Kristoufek

An autoregressive model with a power-law type memory kernel is studied as a stochastic process that exhibits a self-affine-fractal-like behavior for a small time scale. We find numerically that the root-mean-square displacement for the time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Haruo Honjo

We consider the problem of estimating the autocorrelation operator of an autoregressive Hilbertian process. By means of a Tikhonov approach, we establish a general result that yields the convergence rate of the estimated autocorrelation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-09 Alessia Caponera , Victor M. Panaretos

We obtain the rate of growth of long strange segments and the rate of decay of infinite horizon ruin probabilities for a class of infinite moving average processes with exponentially light tails. The rates are computed explicitly. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Souvik Ghosh , Gennady Samorodnitsky

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

We find the asymptotic distribution of the sample autocovariances of long-memory processes in cases of finite and infinite fourth moment. Depending on the interplay of assumptions on moments and the intensity of dependence, there are three…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka

An autocorrelation function is obtained on the base of the recurrence relation formalism, whose continued fraction form corresponds to that of golden ratio. It turns out that this GR autocorrelation is known in science and obeys all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-12 R. Tsekov

The paper considers high frequency sampled multivariate continuous-time ARMA (MCARMA) models, and derives the asymptotic behavior of the sample autocovariance function to a normal random matrix. Moreover, we obtain the asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Vicky Fasen

The exponent $\lambda$ that describes the decay of the autocorrelation function $A(t)$ in a phase ordering system, $A(t) \sim L^{-(d-\lambda)}$, where $d$ is the dimension and $L$ the characteristic length scale at time $t$, is calculated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 A. J. Bray , B. Derrida

We prove a representation of the partial autocorrelation function (PACF) of a stationary process, or of the Verblunsky coefficients of its normalized spectral measure, in terms of the Fourier coefficients of the phase function. It is not of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 N. H. Bingham , Akihiko Inoue , Yukio Kasahara

Autoregressive processes (AR) have typical short-range memory. Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) was basically designed to reveal long range correlation in non stationary processes. However DFA can also be regarded as a suitable method…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-07-11 V. V. Morariu , L. Buimaga-Iarinca , C. Vamos , S. Soltuz

The large deviations of an infinite moving average process with exponentially light tails are very similar to those of an i.i.d. sequence as long as the coefficients decay fast enough. If they do not, the large deviations change…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Souvik Ghosh , Gennady Samorodnitsky
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