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To obtain a probabilistic model for a dependent variable based on some set of explanatory variables, a distributional approach is often adopted where the parameters of the distribution are linked to regressors. In many classical models this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Lisa Schlosser , Torsten Hothorn , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a novel tool for generating large-scale land surface data in recent years. ML can learn the relationship between input and target, e.g. meteorological variables and in-situ soil moisture, and then…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-24 Sungmin O , Rene Orth , Ulrich Weber , Seon Ki Park

Collecting time series data spatially distributed in many locations is often important for analyzing climate change and its impacts on ecosystems. However, comprehensive spatial data collection is not always feasible, requiring us to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shihori Koyama , Daisuke Inoue , Hiroaki Yoshida , Kazuyuki Aihara , Gouhei Tanaka

We attempt to forecast the Sun's sunspot butterfly diagram in both space (i.e. in latitude) and time, instead of the usual one-dimensional time series forecasts prevalent in the scientific literature. We use a prediction method based on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-11 Eurico Covas

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee

While we would like to predict exact values, available incomplete information is rarely sufficient - usually allowing only to predict conditional probability distributions. This article discusses hierarchical correlation reconstruction…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Jarosław Duda , Robert Syrek , Henryk Gurgul

Graphical models for structured domains are powerful tools, but the computational complexities of combinatorial prediction spaces can force restrictions on models, or require approximate inference in order to be tractable. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Stephen Bach , Bert Huang , Ben London , Lise Getoor

We introduce a heterogeneous spatiotemporal GARCH model for geostatistical data or processes on networks, e.g., for modelling and predicting financial return volatility across firms in a latent spatial framework. The model combines…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-29 Atika Aouri , Philipp Otto

Small Earth data are geoscience observations with limited short-term monitoring variability, providing sparse but meaningful measurements, typically exhibiting spatiotemporal correlations. Spatiotemporal forecasting on such data is crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Yuting Yang , Gang Mei , Zhengjing Ma , Nengxiong Xu , Jianbing Peng

In areal unit data with missing or suppressed data, it desirable to create models that are able to predict observations that are not available. Traditional statistical methods achieve this through Bayesian hierarchical models that can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Cara MacBride , Vinny Davies , Duncan Lee

Inference for spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) for high-dimensional non-Gaussian spatial data is computationally intensive. The computational challenge is due to the high-dimensional random effects and because Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-09 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

This paper presents a new Bayesian collaborative sparse regression method for linear unmixing of hyperspectral images. Our contribution is twofold; first, we propose a new Bayesian model for structured sparse regression in which the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-19 Yoann Altmann , Marcelo Pereyra , Jose Bioucas-Dias

Machine learning often needs to model density from a multidimensional data sample, including correlations between coordinates. Additionally, we often have missing data case: that data points can miss values for some of coordinates. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Jarek Duda

Information on the grass growth over a year is essential for some models simulating the use of this resource to feed animals on pasture or at barn with hay or grass silage. Unfortunately, this information is rarely available. The challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Thomas Guyet , Laurent Spillemaecker , Simon Malinowski , Anne-Isabelle Graux

Recent developments in engineering techniques for spatial data collection such as geographic information systems have resulted in an increasing need for methods to analyze large spatial data sets. These sorts of data sets can be found in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Toshihiro Hirano

The paper revisits the $\alpha$--regression framework for compositional data. The model uses a flexible power transformation parameterized by $\alpha$ to interpolate between raw data analysis and log--ratio methods, naturally handling zeros…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Michail Tsagris , Yannis Pantazis

This paper focuses on forecasting hierarchical time-series data, where each higher-level observation equals the sum of its corresponding lower-level time series. In such contexts, the forecast values should be coherent, meaning that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Shuhei Aikawa , Aru Suzuki , Kei Yoshitake , Kanata Teshigawara , Akira Iwabuchi , Ken Kobayashi , Kazuhide Nakata

We consider a class of high-dimensional spatial filtering problems, where the spatial locations of observations are unknown and driven by the partially observed hidden signal. This problem is exceptionally challenging as not only is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

Paleoclimatology -- the study of past climate -- is relevant beyond climate science itself, such as in archaeology and anthropology for understanding past human dispersal. Information about the Earth's paleoclimate comes from simulations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Seth D. Axen , Alexandra Gessner , Christian Sommer , Nils Weitzel , Álvaro Tejero-Cantero