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This paper deals with uncertainty quantification and out-of-distribution detection in deep learning using Bayesian and ensemble methods. It proposes a practical solution to the lack of prediction diversity observed recently for standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Antoine de Mathelin , François Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

We consider an optimal stopping problem with n correlated offers where the goal is to design a (randomized) stopping strategy that maximizes the expected value of the offer in the sequence at which we stop. Instead of assuming to know the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pieter Kleer , Daan Noordenbos

We develop some graph-based tests for spherical symmetry of a multivariate distribution using a method based on data augmentation. These tests are constructed using a new notion of signs and ranks that are computed along a path obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Bilol Banerjee , Anil K. Ghosh

We compute exactly the asymptotic distribution of scaled height in a (1+1)--dimensional anisotropic ballistic deposition model by mapping it to the Ulam problem of finding the longest nondecreasing subsequence in a random sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Satya N. Majumdar , Sergei Nechaev

Let $P$ be a probability distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$ (equipped with an Euclidean norm $|\cdot|$). Let $ r> 0 $ and let $(\alpha_n)_{n \geq1}$ be an (asymptotically) $L^r(P)$-optimal sequence of $n$-quantizers. We investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-20 Gilles Pagès , Abass Sagna

In this paper, we compute the tightest possible bounds on the probability that the optimal value of a combinatorial optimization problem in maximization form with a random objective exceeds a given number, assuming only knowledge of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Divya Padmanabhan , Selin Damla Ahipasaoglu , Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

We study the problem of testing discrete distributions with a focus on the high probability regime. Specifically, given samples from one or more discrete distributions, a property $\mathcal{P}$, and parameters $0< \epsilon, \delta <1$, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Ilias Diakonikolas , Themis Gouleakis , Daniel M. Kane , John Peebles , Eric Price

In this work we study the estimation of the density of a totally positive random vector. Total positivity of the distribution of a random vector implies a strong form of positive dependence between its coordinates and, in particular, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Ali Zartash , Elina Robeva

Complex network theory crucially depends on the assumptions made about the degree distribution, while fitting degree distributions to network data is challenging, in particular for scale-free networks with power-law degrees. We present a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-28 Judith Brugman , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Clara Stegehuis

In this paper we show that the spherical cap discrepancy of the point set given by centers of pixels in the HEALPix tessellation (short for Hierarchical, Equal Area and iso-Latitude Pixelation) of unit $2$-sphere is lower and upper bounded…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Damir Ferizović , Julian Hofstadler , Michelle Mastrianni

We study a regulation problem for stochastic systems subject to both continuous fluctuations and rare but significant shocks, modeled as a jump-diffusion with uncertainty in both the drift and the jump intensity. Such settings arise in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria , Giorgio Ferrari

We examine the concentration of uniform generalization errors around their expectation in binary linear classification problems via an isoperimetric argument. In particular, we establish Poincar\'{e} and log-Sobolev inequalities for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-27 Shogo Nakakita

The local number variance associated with a spherical sampling window of radius $R$ enables a classification of many-particle systems in $d$-dimensional Euclidean space according to the degree to which large-scale density fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Salvatore Torquato , Jaeuk Kim , Michael A. Klatt

Often of primary interest in the analysis of multivariate data are the copula parameters describing the dependence among the variables, rather than the univariate marginal distributions. Since the ranks of a multivariate dataset are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu , Jon A. Wellner

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

The problem of joint detection and lossless source coding is considered. We derive asymptotically optimal decision rules for deciding whether or not a sequence of observations has emerged from a desired information source, and to compress…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

An asymptotic theory is developed for computing volumes of regions in the parameter space of a directed Gaussian graphical model that are obtained by bounding partial correlations. We study these volumes using the method of real log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Shaowei Lin , Caroline Uhler , Bernd Sturmfels , Peter Bühlmann

The concept of typical and weighted typical spherical faces for tessellations of the $d$-dimensional unit sphere, generated by $n$ independent random great hyperspheres distributed according to a non-degenerate directional distribution, is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Zakhar Kabluchko , Christoph Thäle

We derive sharp upper and lower bounds for the pointwise concentration function of the maximum statistic of $d$ identically distributed real-valued random variables. Our first main result places no restrictions either on the common marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Matias D. Cattaneo , Ricardo P. Masini , William G. Underwood

Most asymptotic results for robust estimates rely on regularity conditions that are difficult to verify in practice. Moreover, these results apply to fixed distribution functions. In the robustness context the distribution of the data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Matias Salibian-Barrera , Ruben H. Zamar