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Progressive diseases worsen over time and are characterised by monotonic change in features that track disease progression. Here we connect ideas from two formerly separate methodologies -- event-based and hidden Markov modelling -- to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Peter A. Wijeratne , Daniel C. Alexander

Finite and infinite population models are frequently used in population dynamics. However, their interrelationship is rarely discussed. In this work, we examine the limits of large populations of the Moran process (a finite-population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

Shannon information has, in the past, been applied to quantify the genetic diversity of many natural populations. Here, we apply the Shannon concept to consecutive generations of alleles as they evolve over time. We suppose a genetic system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-17 J. S. Glasenapp , B. R. Frieden , C. D. Cruz

We study branching Markov chains on a countable state space (space of types) $\mathscr{X}$, with the focus on the qualitative aspects of the limit behaviour of the evolving empirical population distributions. No conditions are imposed on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Vadim A. Kaimanovich , Wolfgang Woess

A phylogeny describes the evolutionary history of an evolving population. Evolutionary search algorithms can perfectly track the ancestry of candidate solutions, illuminating a population's trajectory through the search space. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Alexander Lalejini , Marcos Sanson , Jack Garbus , Matthew Andres Moreno , Emily Dolson

Ecological and evolutionary dynamics have been historically regarded as unfolding at broadly separated timescales. However, these two types of processes are nowadays well documented to much more tightly than traditionally assumed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 José Camacho Mateu , Matteo Sireci , Miguel A. Muñoz

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

We present a version of the classical Moran model, in which mutations are taken into account; the possibility of mutations was introduced by Moran in his seminal paper, but it is more often overlooked in discussing the Moran model. For this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-07 Giuseppe Gaeta

We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

Consider the continuous-time Markov Branching Process. In critical case we consider a situation when the generating function of intensity of transformation of particles has the infinite second moment, but its tail regularly varies in sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Azam Imomov

For a population with any given number of types, we construct a new multivariate Moran process with frequency-dependent selection and establish, analytically, a correspondence to equilibrium Lotka-Volterra phenomenology. This…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-30 Andrew E. Noble , Alan Hastings , William F. Fagan

We present a new model for seed banks, where direct ancestors of individuals may have lived in the near as well as the very far past. The classical Wright-Fisher model, as well as a seed bank model with bounded age distribution considered…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Jochen Blath , Adrian González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Dario Spanò

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since there is usually no obvious natural upper limit on the number of individuals in a patch,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-27 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

We study the Tangled Nature model of macro evolution and demonstrate that the co-evolutionary dynamics produces an increasingly correlated core of well occupied types. At the same time the entire configuration of types becomes increasing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Dominic Jones , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Paolo Sibani

Respondent-Driven Sampling is a popular technique for sampling hidden populations. This paper models Respondent-Driven Sampling as a Markov process indexed by a tree. Our main results show that the Volz-Heckathorn estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Xiao Li , Karl Rohe

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The Markov evolution is studied of an infinite age-structured population of migrants arriving in and departing from a continuous habitat $X \subseteq\mathds{R}^d$ -- at random and independently of each other. Each population member is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Dominika Jasinska , Yuri Kozitsky

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

The mother-dependent neutral mutations model describes the evolution of a population across discrete generations, where neutral mutations occur among a finite set of possible alleles. In this model, each mutant child acquires a type…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Airam Blancas , Maria Clara Fittipaldi , Sarai Hernandez-Torres

The evolution of aligned DNA sequence sites is generally modeled by a Markov process operating along the edges of a phylogenetic tree. It is well known that the probability distribution on the site patterns at the tips of the tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-15 Benny Chor , Mike Steel