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Let $\{X_n;n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ and $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^n X_k$. It is well-known that the almost sure convergence, the convergence in probability and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

Kolmogorov's exponential inequalities are basic tools for studying the strong limit theorems such as the classical laws of the iterated logarithm for both independent and dependent random variables. This paper establishes the Kolmogorov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

A novel notion of unpredictable strings is revealed and utilized to define deterministic unpredictable sequences on a finite number of symbols. We prove the first law of large strings for random processes in discrete time, which confirms…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Marat Akhmet , Astrit Tola

We utilize an ergodic theory framework to explore sublinear expectation theory. Specifically, we investigate the pointwise Birkhoff's ergodic theorem for invariant sublinear expectation systems. By further assuming that these sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Wen Huang , Chunlin Liu , Shige Peng , Baoyou Qu

We introduce the notion of a random mean generated by a random variable and give a construction of its expected value. We derive some sufficient conditions under which strong laws of large numbers and some limit theorems hold for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Pál Burai

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

This paper introduces new notions of Fubini independence and Exponential independence of random variables under capacities to fit Ellsberg's model, and finds out the relations between Fubini independence, Exponential independence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Weihuan Huang , Yiwei Lin

Large language models with a huge number of parameters, when trained on near internet-sized number of tokens, have been empirically shown to obey neural scaling laws: specifically, their performance behaves predictably as a power law in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Alexander Maloney , Daniel A. Roberts , James Sully

In this paper, we investigate a central limit theorem for weighted sums of independent random variables under sublinear expectations. It is turned out that our results are natural extensions of the results obtained by Peng and Li and Shi.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Defei Zhang

The upper bound inequality for variance of weighted sum of correlated random variables is derived according to Cauchy-Schwarz's inequality, while the weights are non-negative with sum of 1. We also give a novel proof with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Jingwei Liu

We study the large deviations of sums of correlated random variables described by a matrix product ansatz, which generalizes the product structure of independent random variables to matrices whose non-commutativity is the source of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-18 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

The theory of large deviations is concerned with the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random systems. These probabilities are important in many fields of study, including statistics, finance, and engineering, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-20 Hugo Touchette

Statistical models that include random effects are commonly used to analyze longitudinal and correlated data, often with strong and parametric assumptions about the random effects distribution. There is marked disagreement in the literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-11 Charles E. McCulloch , John M. Neuhaus

In probability theory, there is a tendency to treat one random variable with a given distribution as being just as good as any other. By and large this is fine because probability is (mostly) concerned with distributional properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-31 Douglas Rizzolo

This note presents a kind of the strong law of large numbers for an insurance risk caused by a single catastrophic event rather than by an accumulation of independent and identically distributed risks. We derive this result by a large…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-14 Yumiharu Nakano

In quantum experiments the acquisition and representation of basic experimental information is governed by the multinomial probability distribution. There exist unique random variables, whose standard deviation becomes asymptotically…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-23 Johann Summhammer

This paper develops new limit theory for data that are generated by networks or more generally display cross-sectional dependence structures that are governed by observable and unobservable characteristics. Strategic network formation…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Guido M. Kuersteiner

We present a Law of Large Numbers principle for uniformly continuous random quantum dynamical semigroups. Random iterates of independent copies of these semigroups are shown to be Chernoff equivalent to the quantum dynamical semigroup by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-03-07 John E. Gough , Yurii N. Orlov , Vsevolod Zh. Sakbaev , Oleg G. Smolyanov

We construct a time-consistent sublinear expectation in the setting of volatility uncertainty. This mapping extends Peng's G-expectation by allowing the range of the volatility uncertainty to be stochastic. Our construction is purely…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Marcel Nutz
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