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Variational data assimilation estimates the dynamical system states by minimizing a cost function that fits the numerical models with the observational data. Although four-dimensional variational assimilation (4D-Var) is widely used, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yiming Yang , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Daniel Giles , Sibo Cheng , Yi He , Xiao Xue , Boli Chen , Yukun Hu

Variational data assimilation in continuous time is revisited. The central techniques applied in this paper are in part adopted from the theory of optimal nonlinear control. Alternatively, the investigated approach can be considered as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jochen Bröcker

Data assimilation combines prior (or background) information with observations to estimate the initial state of a dynamical system over a given time-window. A common application is in numerical weather prediction where a previous forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Coralia Cartis , Maha H. Kaouri , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

We carry out a rigorous analysis of four-dimensional variational data assimilation ($4D$-VAR) problems for linear and semilinear parabolic partial differential equations. Continuity of the state with respect to the spatial variable is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Paula Castro , Juan Carlos De los Reyes , Ira Neitzel

This paper develops a computational framework for optimizing the parameters of data assimilation systems in order to improve their performance. The approach formulates a continuous meta-optimization problem for parameters; the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu

This study demonstrates how the incremental 4D-Var data assimilation method can be applied efficiently preconditione d in an application to an oceanographic problem. The approach consists in performing a few iterations of the reduced-order…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-09-19 Céline Robert , Eric Blayo , Jacques Verron

State estimates from weak constraint 4D-Var data assimilation can vary significantly depending on the data and model error covariances. As a result, the accuracy of these estimates heavily depends on the correct specification of both model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Sandra R. Babyale , Jodi Mead , Donna Calhoun , Patricia O. Azike

This paper studies the role of sparse regularization in a properly chosen basis for variational data assimilation (VDA) problems. Specifically, it focuses on data assimilation of noisy and down-sampled observations while the state variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-06-25 A. M. Ebtehaj , M. Zupanski , G. Lerman , E. Foufoula-Georgiou

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

A parallel-in-time algorithm based on an augmented Lagrangian approach is proposed to solve four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation problems. The assimilation window is divided into multiple sub-intervals that allows to…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) has emerged as an important methodology, widely used in numerical weather prediction, oceanographic modeling, and climate forecasting. Classical unconstrained gradient-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bowen Li , Bin Shi

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) is a cornerstone of numerical weather prediction, but its cost function is difficult to optimize and computationally intensive. We propose a neural field-based reformulation in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Jaemin Oh

The 4D-Var method for filtering partially observed nonlinear chaotic dynamical systems consists of finding the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) estimator of the initial condition of the system given observations over a time window, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Daniel Paulin , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan

This paper presents a comparison of two reduced-order, sequential and variational data assimilation methods: the SEEK filter and the R-4D-Var. A hybridization of the two, combining the variational framework and the sequential evolution of…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Céline Robert , Eric Blayo , Jacques Verron

We prove consistence, convergence and stability of the Domain Decomposition in space and time method of 4DVAR Data Assimilation problem. We introduce the condition number of the problem and validate the theoretical analysis through…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Luisa D'Amore , Rosalba Cacciapuoti

This paper presents a reduced-order approach for four-dimensional variational data assimilation, based on a prior EO F analysis of a model trajectory. This method implies two main advantages: a natural model-based definition of a mul…

Data assimilation has become a key technique for combining physical models with observational data to estimate state variables. However, classical assimilation algorithms often struggle with the high nonlinearity present in both physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuoyuan Li , Bin Dong , Pingwen Zhang
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