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We present a mathematical model of a market with $m$ shares traded across $n$ investor groups, each one with similar motivations and trading strategies. The market of each asset consists of a fixed amount of cash and shares (no additions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Mario Cavani

The analysis of computer models can be aided by the construction of surrogate models, or emulators, that statistically model the numerical computer model. Increasingly, computer models are becoming stochastic, yielding different outputs…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

We consider a model of debt management, where a sovereign state trade some bonds to service the debt with a pool of risk-neutral competitive foreign investors. At each time, the government decides which fraction of the gross domestic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-30 Antonio Marigonda , Khai T. Nguyen

Recent advances in computing power and the potential to make more realistic assumptions due to increased flexibility have led to the increased prevalence of simulation models in economics. While models of this class, and particularly…

General Economics · Economics 2019-06-12 Donovan Platt

Individual risk models need to capture possible correlations as failing to do so typically results in an underestimation of extreme quantiles of the aggregate loss. Such dependence modelling is particularly important for managing credit…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Michel Denuit , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

In this paper we investigate Gaussian risk models which include financial elements such as inflation and interest rates. For some general models for inflation and interest rates, we obtain an asymptotic expansion of the finite-time ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Regular vine distributions which constitute a flexible class of multivariate dependence models are discussed. Since multivariate copulae constructed through pair-copula decompositions were introduced to the statistical community, interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Jeffrey Dissmann , Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado , Dorota Kurowicka

In this paper we introduce a sublinear conditional operator with respect to a family of possibly nondominated probability measures in presence of multiple ordered default times. In this way we generalize the results of [5], where a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-17 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Katharina Oberpriller

Mathematical models are used extensively for diverse tasks including analysis, optimization, and decision making. Frequently, those models are principled but imperfect representations of reality. This is either due to incomplete physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Remi R. Lam , Lior Horesh , Haim Avron , Karen E. Willcox

We consider initial value problems of nonlinear dynamical systems, which include physical parameters. A quantity of interest depending on the solution is observed. A discretisation yields the trajectories of the quantity of interest in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Roland Pulch , Maha Youssef

The paper tests the validity of the critique of the fiscal theory of the price level. A stochastic general equilibrium model with continuous time is constructed. An active fiscal policy and a passive monetary policy have been set. Monetary…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-05 Andrey Kofnov

Stochastic differential equation (SDE) models are the foundation for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. The drift and volatility functions in SDE models are typically chosen to be algebraic functions with a small number (less than…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Lei Fan , Justin Sirignano

We study a class of heterogeneous agent-based models which are based on a basic set of principles, and the most fundamental operations of an economic system: trade and product transformations. A basic guiding principle is scale invariance,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-24 Samuel E. Vazquez

Dependability is an umbrella concept that subsumes many key properties about a system, including reliability, maintainability, safety, availability, confidentiality, and integrity. Various dependability modeling techniques have been…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Waqar Ahmed , Osman Hasan , Sofiene Tahar

Closed form formulas for swaption prices in HJM model are derived. These formulas are used for nonparametric fit of deterministic forward volatility. It is demonstrated that this formula and non-parametric fit works very well and can be…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-11 V. M. Belyaev

We introduce a novel and highly tractable supervised learning approach based on neural networks that can be applied for the computation of model-free price bounds of, potentially high-dimensional, financial derivatives and for the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-15 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

Historical Simulation (HS) and its extensions form a popular class of methods for estimating Value-at-Risk for portfolios of financial assets based on historical data. In this note, we seek to unify several ideas and models from throughout…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Björn Löfdahl Grelsson

This paper aims to review the methodology behind the generalized linear models which are used in analyzing the actuarial situations instead of the ordinary multiple linear regression. We introduce how to assess the adequacy of the model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-09 Murwan H. M. A. Siddig

Traditional macroeconomic models, based on static algebraic systems, fail to capture the dynamics of a bimonetary economy like Argentina's. This paper proposes a framework based on category theory to develop a more flexible and structured…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-20 Luciano Pollicino