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Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-29 Dean P. Foster , Jordan Rodu , Lyle H. Ungar

Probabilities of causation play a central role in modern decision making. Tian and Pearl first introduced formal definitions and derived tight bounds for three binary probabilities of causation, such as the probability of necessity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Shuai Wang , Yizhou Sun , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

This article presents general procedures for constructing, estimating, and testing Hilbert space multi-dimensional (HSM) models, which are based on quantum probability theory. HSM models can be applied to collections of K different…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-04-18 Jerome R. Busemeyer , Zheng Wang

We use the Method of Difference Potentials (MDP) to solve a non-overlapping domain decomposition formulation of the Helmholtz equation. The MDP reduces the Helmholtz equation on each subdomain to a Calderon's boundary equation with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Evan North , Semyon Tsynkov , Eli Turkel

Probability density models based on deep networks have achieved remarkable success in modeling complex high-dimensional datasets. However, unlike kernel density estimators, modern neural models do not yield marginals or conditionals in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 Dar Gilboa , Ari Pakman , Thibault Vatter

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental optimization problem in statistics. We study this problem on manifolds of matrices with bounded rank. These represent mixtures of distributions of two independent discrete random variables. We…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Jonathan Hauenstein , Jose Rodriguez , Bernd Sturmfels

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic functions of finite Markov chains, or, put in other words, state space models with finite state space. In this paper, we examine subspace estimation methods for HMMs whose output lies a finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Sofia Andersson , Tobias Rydén

Imprecise probability is concerned with uncertainty about which probability distributions to use. It has applications in robust statistics and machine learning. We look at programming language models for imprecise probability. Our…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Jack Liell-Cock , Sam Staton

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) are a widely used probabilistic model for negatively correlated sets. DPPs have been successfully employed in Machine Learning applications to select a diverse, yet representative subset of data. In…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Elena Grigorescu , Brendan Juba , Karl Wimmer , Ning Xie

Probabilistic Cell Decomposition (PCD) is a probabilistic path planning method combining the concepts of approximate cell decomposition with probabilistic sampling. It has been shown that the use of lazy evaluation techniques and supervised…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-07-15 Frank Lingelbach

In exploratory factor analysis, model parameters are usually estimated by maximum likelihood method. The maximum likelihood estimate is obtained by solving a complicated multivariate algebraic equation. Since the solution to the equation is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Ryoya Fukasaku , Kei Hirose , Yutaro Kabata , Keisuke Teramoto

Given a statistical model, the maximum likelihood degree is the number of complex solutions to the likelihood equations for generic data. We consider discrete algebraic statistical models and study the solutions to the likelihood equations…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Elizabeth Gross , Jose Israel Rodriguez

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

(Jaynes') Method of (Shannon-Kullback's) Relative Entropy Maximization (REM or MaxEnt) can be - at least in the discrete case - according to the Maximum Probability Theorem (MPT) viewed as an asymptotic instance of the Maximum Probability…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-27 M. Grendar, , M. Grendar

For a class of generalized Hubbard models, we determine the maximal stability region for the superconducting eta-pairing ground state. We exploit the Optimized Ground State (OGS) approach and the Lanczos diagonalization procedure to derive…

Superconductivity · Physics 2009-10-31 Matteo Beccaria

In this paper, we propose a maximum smoothed likelihood method to estimate the component density functions of mixture models, in which the mixing proportions are known and may differ among observations. The proposed estimates maximize a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Tao Yu , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

In this paper, we study sample size thresholds for maximum likelihood estimation for tensor normal models. Given the model parameters and the number of samples, we determine whether, almost surely, (1) the likelihood function is bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Harm Derksen , Visu Makam , Michael Walter

In order to learn the complex features of large spatio-temporal data, models with large parameter sets are often required. However, estimating a large number of parameters is often infeasible due to the computational and memory costs of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-02 Matthew Edwards , Stefano Castruccio , Dorit Hammerling

This paper presents a new approach, called perturb-max, for high-dimensional statistical inference that is based on applying random perturbations followed by optimization. This framework injects randomness to maximum a-posteriori (MAP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-01 Tamir Hazan , Francesco Orabona , Anand D. Sarwate , Subhransu Maji , Tommi Jaakkola