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Episodes of market crashes have fascinated economists for centuries. Although many academics, practitioners and policy makers have studied questions related to collapsing asset price bubbles, there is little consensus yet about their causes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-15 T. Kaizoji , D. Sornette

There are some statistical anomalies in the Chinese stock market, i.e., positive return skewness, anti-leverage effect (positive returns induce higher volatility than negative returns); and reverse volatility asymmetry (contemporaneous…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-06 Liang Wu , Jingyi Luo , Yingkai Tang , Gregory Bardes

Crashes have fascinated and baffled many canny observers of financial markets. In the strict orthodoxy of the efficient market theory, crashes must be due to sudden changes of the fundamental valuation of assets. However, detailed empirical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Jonathan Donier , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Oft-cited causes of mini-flash crashes include human errors, endogenous feedback loops, the nature of modern liquidity provision, fundamental value shocks, and market fragmentation. We develop a mathematical model which captures aspects of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Alexander Munk

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-20 Charles D. Brummitt , Rajiv Sethi , Duncan J. Watts

The Chinese stock market experienced an abrupt crash in 2015, and over one-third of its market value evaporated. Given its associations with fear and the fine resolution with respect to frequency, the illiquidity of stocks may offer a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Xiaoling Tan , Jichang Zhao

Short sales are regarded as negative purchases in textbook asset pricing theory. In reality, however, the symmetry between purchases and short sales is broken by a variety of costs and risks peculiar to the latter. We formulate an optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-29 Kristoffer Glover , Hardy Hulley

The `Black Thursday' crisis in cryptocurrency markets demonstrated deleveraging risks in over-collateralized non-custodial stablecoins. We develop a stochastic model that helps explain deleveraging crises in these over-collateralized…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

We propose a non linear Langevin equation as a model for stock market fluctuations and crashes. This equation is based on an identification of the different processes influencing the demand and supply, and their mathematical transcription.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Rama Cont

It is suggested to consider long term trends of financial markets as a growth phenomenon. The question that is asked is what conditions are needed for a long term sustainable growth or contraction in a financial market? The paper discuss…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jorgen Vitting Andersen

In complex systems like financial market, risk tolerance of individuals is crucial for system resilience.The single-security price limit, designed as risk tolerance to protect investors by avoiding sharp price fluctuation, is blamed for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-21 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang

This is the first study to explore the transmission paths for liquidity shocks in China's segmented money market. We examine how money market transactions create such pathways between China's closely-guarded banking sector and the rest of…

General Economics · Economics 2018-11-26 Ruoxi Lu , David A. Bessler , David J. Leatham

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

Leverage is strongly related to liquidity in a market and lack of liquidity is considered a cause and/or consequence of the recent financial crisis. A repurchase agreement is a financial instrument where a security is sold simultaneously…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-05 Wanfeng Yan , Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette

This review is a partial synthesis of the book ``Why stock market crash'' (Princeton University Press, January 2003), which presents a general theory of financial crashes and of stock market instabilities that his co-workers and the author…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. Sornette

The imbalance of buying and selling functions profoundly in the formation of market trends, however, a fine-granularity investigation of the imbalance is still missing. This paper investigates a unique transaction dataset that enables us to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-06 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang

We study a rational expectation model of bubbles and crashes. The model has two components : (1) our key assumption is that a crash may be caused by local self-reinforcing imitation between noise traders. If the tendency for noise traders…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Anders Johansen , Olivier Ledoit , Didier Sornette

The stock market's reaction to the external risk shock is closely related to the cross-shareholding network structure. This paper takes the public information of listed companies in the A-share securities market as the primary sample to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-06 Yujue Wang

In this paper, I examine why some firms have zero leverage. I fail to find evidence that firms are unlevered because of managerial entrenchment since these firms do not have weaker corporate governance. I reject the hypothesis that firms…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Mykola Pinchuk
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