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Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Dan Nettleton , Zhengyuan Zhu

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

One fundamental statistical question for research areas such as precision medicine and health disparity is about discovering effect modification of treatment or exposure by observed covariates. We propose a semiparametric framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Muxuan Liang , Menggang Yu

A general Bayesian framework for model selection on random network models regarding their features is considered. The goal is to develop a principle Bayesian model selection approach to compare different fittable, not necessarily nested,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Papamichalis Marios

We propose a new family of fairness definitions for classification problems that combine some of the best properties of both statistical and individual notions of fairness. We posit not only a distribution over individuals, but also a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-18 Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth , Saeed Sharifi-Malvajerdi

In this paper, we discuss a potential agenda for future work in the theory of random sets and belief functions, touching upon a number of focal issues: the development of a fully-fledged theory of statistical reasoning with random sets,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Fabio Cuzzolin

Individuals express diverse opinions, a fair summary should represent these viewpoints comprehensively. Previous research on fairness in opinion summarisation using large language models (LLMs) relied on hyperparameter tuning or providing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Nannan Huang , Haytham M. Fayek , Xiuzhen Zhang

Philosophers now seem to agree that frequentism is an untenable strategy to explain the meaning of probabilities. Nevertheless, I want to revive frequentism, and I will do so by grounding probabilities on typicality in the same way as the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Mario Hubert

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Following Fisher, it is widely believed that randomization "relieves the experimenter from the anxiety of considering innumerable causes by which the data may be disturbed." In particular, it is said to control for known and unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

This note examines the question of randomness in a sequence based on the continued fraction (CF) representation of its corresponding representation as a number, or as D sequence. We propose a randomness measure that is directly equal to the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2010-04-01 Anvesh Aileni

Common practice in modern machine learning involves fitting a large number of parameters relative to the number of observations. These overparameterized models can exhibit surprising generalization behavior, e.g., ``double descent'' in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Ryan J. Tibshirani

This paper describes a compound Poisson-based random effects structure for modeling zero-inflated data. Data with large proportion of zeros are found in many fields of applied statistics, for example in ecology when trying to model and…

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-29 Marie-Pierre Etienne , Eric Parent , Benoit Hugues , Bernier Jacques

In this review, we present econometric and statistical methods for analyzing randomized experiments. For basic experiments we stress randomization-based inference as opposed to sampling-based inference. In randomization-based inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

I proposed (8, 1, 3) that p values should be supplemented by an estimate of the false positive risk (FPR). FPR was defined as the probability that, if you claim that there is a real effect on the basis of p value from a single unbiased…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-08-10 David Colquhoun

In this paper, we study the prediction of a real-valued target, such as a risk score or recidivism rate, while guaranteeing a quantitative notion of fairness with respect to a protected attribute such as gender or race. We call this class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Alekh Agarwal , Miroslav Dudík , Zhiwei Steven Wu

We extend Fisher's randomization test (FRT) to test conditional independence between observed outcomes and treatments given covariates in both randomized experiments and observational studies, with no restriction on the variable type of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Zhen Zhong

In several literatures, the authors give a new thinking of measurement theory system based on error non-classification philosophy, which completely overthrows the existing measurement concept system of precision, trueness and accuracy. In…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-05-22 Xiaoming Ye , Haibo Liu , Xuebin Xiao , Mo Ling

We explore the influence of framing on decision-making, where some products are framed (e.g., displayed, recommended, endorsed, or labeled). We introduce a novel choice function that captures observed variations in framed alternatives.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Paul H. Y. Cheung , Yusufcan Masatlioglu

Complex systems with many degrees of freedom are typically intractable, but some of their behaviors may admit simpler effective descriptions. The question of when such effective descriptions are possible remains open. The paradigmatic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-26 Charlotte Strandkvist , Pavel Chvykov , Mikhail Tikhonov