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In engineering, uncertainty propagation aims to characterise system outputs under uncertain inputs. For interval uncertainty, the goal is to determine output bounds given interval-valued inputs, which is critical for robust design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ghifari Adam Faza , Jolan Wauters , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

Deep learning has been shown to be highly effective for automatic modulation classification (AMC), which is a pivotal technology for next-generation cognitive communications. Yet, existing deep learning methods for AMC often lack robust…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Huian Yang , Rajeev Sahay

Deep learning models are extensively used in various safety critical applications. Hence these models along with being accurate need to be highly reliable. One way of achieving this is by quantifying uncertainty. Bayesian methods for UQ…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Swaroop Bhandary K , Nico Hochgeschwender , Paul Plöger , Frank Kirchner , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification are crucial in computational cardiology, as they enable the construction of digital twins that faithfully replicate the behavior of physical patients. Robust and efficient mathematical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Matteo Salvador , Francesco Regazzoni , Luca Dede' , Alfio Quarteroni

We employ quantum-volume random-circuit sampling to benchmark the two-QPU entanglement-assisted distributed quantum computing (DQC) and compare it with single-QPU quantum computing. We first specify a single-qubit depolarizing noise model…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-12 Shao-Hua Hu , George Biswas , Jun-Yi Wu

In biomolecular systems (especially all-atom models) with many degrees of freedom such as proteins and nucleic acids, there exist an astronomically large number of local-minimum-energy states. Conventional simulations in the canonical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-30 Ayori Mitsutake , Yoshiharu Mori , Yuko Okamoto

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

A novel method to propagate uncertainty through the soft-thresholding nonlinearity is proposed in this paper. At every layer the current distribution of the target vector is represented as a spike and slab distribution, which represents the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

As machine learning gets deployed more and more widely, and model sizes continue to grow, improving computational efficiency during model inference has become a key challenge. In many commonly used model architectures, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Sai Kiran Narayanaswami , Gopalakrishnan Srinivasan , Balaraman Ravindran

Assessing the validity of a real-world system with respect to given quality criteria is a common yet costly task in industrial applications due to the vast number of required real-world tests. Validating such systems by means of simulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 David Reeb , Kanil Patel , Karim Barsim , Martin Schiegg , Sebastian Gerwinn

Biopharmaceutical products, particularly monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), have gained prominence in the pharmaceutical market due to their high specificity and efficacy. As these products are projected to constitute a substantial portion of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-05 Thanh Tung Khuat , Robert Bassett , Ellen Otte , Bogdan Gabrys

Deep neural networks are in the limelight of machine learning with their excellent performance in many data-driven applications. However, they can lead to inaccurate predictions when queried in out-of-distribution data points, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Yana Stoyanova , Soroush Ghandi , Maryam Tavakol

Ensembles improve prediction performance and allow uncertainty quantification by aggregating predictions from multiple models. In deep ensembling, the individual models are usually black box neural networks, or recently, partially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-26 Lucas Kook , Andrea Götschi , Philipp FM Baumann , Torsten Hothorn , Beate Sick

The inaccuracy of neural network models on inputs that do not stem from the training data distribution is both problematic and at times unrecognized. Model uncertainty estimation can address this issue, where uncertainty estimates are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Siddhartha Jain , Ge Liu , Jonas Mueller , David Gifford

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) enable atomistic simulations with near first-principles accuracy at substantially reduced computational cost, making them powerful tools for large-scale materials modeling. The accuracy of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-11 Yonatan Kurniawan , Mingjian Wen , Ellad B. Tadmor , Mark K. Transtrum

The high-performance computing resources and the constant improvement of both numerical simulation accuracy and the experimental measurements with which they are confronted, bring a new compulsory step to strengthen the credence given to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-01 J-B. Blanchard , G. Damblin , J-M. Martinez , G. Arnaud , F. Gaudier

High-confidence computing relies on trusted instructional set architecture, sealed kernels, and secure operating systems. Cloud computing depends on trusted systems for virtualization tasks. Branch predictions and pipelines are essential in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Shuangbao Paul Wang

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

Probability theory has become the predominant framework for quantifying uncertainty across scientific and engineering disciplines, with a particular focus on measurement and control systems. However, the widespread reliance on simple…

Data imbalance is ubiquitous when applying machine learning to real-world problems, particularly regression problems. If training data are imbalanced, the learning is dominated by the densely covered regions of the target distribution and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Yuchang Jiang , Vivien Sainte Fare Garnot , Konrad Schindler , Jan Dirk Wegner