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We construct a Bayesian sequential test of two simple hypotheses about the value of the unobservable drift coefficient of a Brownian motion, with a possibility to change the initial decision at subsequent moments of time for some penalty.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

This paper develops the first method for the exact simulation of reflected Brownian motion (RBM) with non-stationary drift and infinitesimal variance. The running time of generating exact samples of non-stationary RBM at any time $t$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Mohammad Mousavi , Peter W. Glynn

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the quadratic variation of a stochastic process satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion, based on the theory of asymptotic expansion of Skorohod integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Hayate Yamagishi , Nakahiro Yoshida

We show that if a random variable is the final value of an adapted log-H\"{o}lder continuous process, then it can be represented as a stochastic integral with respect to a fractional Brownian motion with adapted integrand. In order to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Taras Shalaiko , Georgiy Shevchenko

If we compose a smooth function g with fractional Brownian motion B with Hurst index H > 1/2, then the resulting change of variables formula [or It/^o- formula] has the same form as if fractional Brownian motion would be a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Heikki Tikanmäki , Esko Valkeila

The conditional density of Brownian motion is considered given the max, B(t|\max), as well as those with additional information: B(t|close, max), B(t|close, max, min) and B(t|max, min) where the close is the final value: B(t=1)=c and t in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Kurt S Riedel

We consider the problem of optimal estimation of the value of a vector parameter $\thetavector=(\theta_0,\ldots,\theta_n)^{\top}$ of the drift term in a fractional Brownian motion represented by the finite sum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 A. V. Artemov , E. V. Burnaev

We provide upper and lower bounds for the mean ${\mathscr M}(H)$ of $\sup_{t\geqslant 0} \{B_H(t) - t\}$, with $B_H(\cdot)$ a zero-mean, variance-normalized version of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. We find…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Dębicki , Michel Mandjes

The play operator minimalizes the total variation on intervals $[0,T], T> 0$, of functions approximating uniformly given regulated function with given accuracy and starting from a given point. In this article we link the play operator with…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-06-26 R. Ghomrasni , R. Łochowski

The Bou\'e-Dupuis variational formula gives a representation for log Laplace transforms of bounded measurable functions of a finite dimensional Brownian motion on a compact time interval as an infimum of a suitable cost over a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 A. Budhiraja

While medical imaging typically provides massive amounts of data, the extraction of relevant information for predictive diagnosis remains a difficult challenge. Functional MRI (fMRI) data, that provide an indirect measure of task-related or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-02-22 Vincent Michel , Alexandre Gramfort , Gaël Varoquaux , Evelyn Eger , Bertrand Thirion

This paper is the first part of our survey on various results about the distribution of exponential type Brownian functionals defined as an integral over time of geometric Brownian motion. Several related topics are also mentioned.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hiroyuki Matsumoto , Marc Yor

We deal with stochastic differential equations with jumps. In order to obtain an accurate approximation scheme, it is usual to replace the "small jumps" by a Brownian motion. In this paper, we prove that for every fixed time $t$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Vlad Bally , Yifeng Qin

We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

Following the global method for relaxation we prove an integral representation result for a large class of variational functionals naturally defined on the space of functions with Bounded Deformation. Mild additional continuity assumptions…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Marco Caroccia , Matteo Focardi , Nicolas Van Goethem

We show that a pathwise stochastic integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion with an adapted integrand $g$ can have any prescribed distribution, moreover, we give both necessary and sufficient conditions when random variables can…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko , Esko Valkeila

We consider whether minimizers for total variation regularization of linear inverse problems belong to $L^\infty$ even if the measured data does not. We present a simple proof of boundedness of the minimizer for fixed regularization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Kristian Bredies , José A. Iglesias , Gwenael Mercier

We show that a Brownian motion on $\mathbb{R}_{\ge 0}$ which is allowed to spend a total of $s > 0$ time units outside a bounded interval does not leave the interval at all. This can be seen as an extreme example of entropic repulsion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kolb , Dominic T. Schickentanz