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Statistical modeling is a powerful tool for developing and testing theories by way of causal explanation, prediction, and description. In many disciplines there is near-exclusive use of statistical modeling for causal explanation and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Galit Shmueli

Defining process standards by integrating, harmonizing, and standardizing heterogeneous and often implicit processes is an important task, especially for large development organizations. However, many challenges exist, such as limiting the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-02-03 Ove Armbrust , Masafumi Katahira , Yuko Miyamoto , Jürgen Münch , Haruka Nakao , Alexis Ocampo

During a research project in which we developed a machine learning (ML) driven visualization system for non-ML experts, we reflected on interpretability research in ML, computer-supported collaborative work and human-computer interaction.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Jesse Josua Benjamin , Christoph Kinkeldey , Claudia Müller-Birn , Tim Korjakow , Eva-Maria Herbst

Modeling biological processes is a highly demanding task because not all processes are fully understood. Mathematical models allow us to test hypotheses about possible mechanisms of biological processes. The mathematical mechanisms…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Cordula Reisch , Hannah Burmester

In the last years many accurate decision support systems have been constructed as black boxes, that is as systems that hide their internal logic to the user. This lack of explanation constitutes both a practical and an ethical issue. The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-06-22 Riccardo Guidotti , Anna Monreale , Salvatore Ruggieri , Franco Turini , Dino Pedreschi , Fosca Giannotti

The use of models, even if efficient, must be accompanied by an understanding at all levels of the process that transforms data (upstream and downstream). Thus, needs increase to define the relationships between individual data and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Dimitri Delcaillau , Antoine Ly , Alize Papp , Franck Vermet

As data-driven intelligent systems advance, the need for reliable and transparent decision-making mechanisms has become increasingly important. Therefore, it is essential to integrate uncertainty quantification and model explainability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Nijat Mehdiyev , Maxim Majlatow , Peter Fettke

Organisations, whether in government, industry or commerce, are required to make decisions in a complex and uncertain environment. The way models are used is intimately connected to the way organisations make decisions and the context in…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-08-28 Chris J Dent , Michael Goldstein , Andrew Wright , Henry P. Wynn

In this work we introduce declarative statistics, a suite of declarative modelling tools for statistical analysis. Statistical constraints represent the key building block of declarative statistics. First, we introduce a range of relevant…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Roberto Rossi , Özgür Akgün , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim

Simulation models are an absolute necessity in the human and social sciences, which can only very exceptionally use experimental science methods to construct their knowledge. Models enable the simulation of social processes by replacing the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-06 J. Raimbault , D. Pumain

Explainable machine learning offers the potential to provide stakeholders with insights into model behavior by using various methods such as feature importance scores, counterfactual explanations, or influential training data. Yet there is…

In complex inferential tasks like question answering, machine learning models must confront two challenges: the need to implement a compositional reasoning process, and, in many applications, the need for this reasoning process to be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-08 Ronghang Hu , Jacob Andreas , Trevor Darrell , Kate Saenko

Causal representation learning promises to extend causal models to hidden causal variables from raw entangled measurements. However, most progress has focused on proving identifiability results in different settings, and we are not aware of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Dingling Yao , Caroline Muller , Francesco Locatello

Process discovery aims to discover descriptive process models from event logs. These discovered process models depict the actual execution of a process and serve as a foundational element for conformance checking, performance analyses, and…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Ali Norouzifar , Marcus Dees , Wil van der Aalst

Although deep models achieve high predictive performance, it is difficult for humans to understand the predictions they made. Explainability is important for real-world applications to justify their reliability. Many example-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-08 Tomoharu Iwata , Yuya Yoshikawa

Supervised machine learning models boast remarkable predictive capabilities. But can you trust your model? Will it work in deployment? What else can it tell you about the world? We want models to be not only good, but interpretable. And yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Zachary C. Lipton

Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

A business process model represents the expected behavior of a set of process instances (cases). The process instances may be executed in parallel and may affect each other through data or resources. In particular, changes in values of data…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Yotam Evron , Arava Tsoury , Anna Zamansky , Iris Reinhartz-Berger , Pnina Soffer

Process models depict crucial artifacts for organizations regarding documentation, communication, and collaboration. The proper comprehension of such models is essential for an effective application. An important aspect in process model…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Michael Winter , Heiko Neumann , Rüdiger Pryss , Thomas Probst , Manfred Reichert

Many widely used models amount to an elaborate means of making up numbers--but once a number has been produced, it tends to be taken seriously and its source (the model) is rarely examined carefully. Many widely used models have little…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-28 Philip B. Stark
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