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Linear quantile regression is a powerful tool to investigate how predictors may affect a response heterogeneously across different quantile levels. Unfortunately, existing approaches find it extremely difficult to adjust for any dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-30 Xu Chen , Surya T. Tokdar

In some areas of knowledge there are data representing directions restricted to a specific range of values. Consequently, it is useful to have models for describing variables defined in subsets of the k-dimensional unit sphere. This need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Joel Montesinos-Vazquez , Gabriel Núñez-Antonio

We propose a new class of extreme-value copulas which are extreme-value limits of conditional normal models. Conditional normal models are generalizations of conditional independence models, where the dependence among observed variables is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

Copulas are now frequently used to construct or estimate multivariate distributions because of their ability to take into account the multivariate dependence of the different variables while separately specifying marginal distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-02 Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

To estimate cosmological parameters from a given dataset, we need to construct a likelihood function, which sometimes has a complicated functional form. We introduce the copula, a mathematical tool to construct an arbitrary multivariate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-25 Masanori Sato , Kiyotomo Ichiki , Tsutomu T. Takeuchi

Multivariate time series (MTS) data often include a heterogeneous mix of non-Gaussian distributional features (asymmetry, multimodality, heavy tails) and data types (continuous and discrete variables). Traditional MTS methods based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 John Zito , Daniel R. Kowal

This paper provides a simple, yet reliable, alternative to the (Bayesian) estimation of large multivariate VARs with time variation in the conditional mean equations and/or in the covariance structure. With our new methodology, the original…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Mike Tsionas , Marwan Izzeldin , Lorenzo Trapani

We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Damien Ackerer , Thibault Vatter

This paper develops a copula-based time-series framework for modelling sovereign credit rating activity and its dependence dynamics, with extensions incorporating climate risk. We introduce a mixed-difference transformation that maps…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Marina Palaisti

Verification and validation of fully automated vehicles is linked to an almost intractable challenge of reflecting the real world with all its interactions in a virtual environment. Influential stochastic parameters need to be extracted…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Katrin Lotto , Thomas Nagler , Mladjan Radic

The majority of model-based clustering techniques is based on multivariate Normal models and their variants. In this paper copulas are used for the construction of flexible families of models for clustering applications. The use of copulas…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Dimitris Karlis

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

Many types of bounded data defined on the unit interval arise naturally as ratios of the form $X/(X + Y)$. In the existing literature, the main statistical models proposed for this type of bounded data typically based on the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Roberto Vila , Felipe Quintino , Marcelo Bourguignon

Copulas allow a flexible and simultaneous modeling of complicated dependence structures together with various marginal distributions. Especially if the density function can be represented as the product of the marginal density functions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-31 Jae Youn Ahn , Sebastian Fuchs , Rosy Oh

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

Modeling of high order multivariate probability distribution is a difficult problem which occurs in many fields. Copula approach is a good choice for this purpose, but the curse of dimensionality still remains a problem. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-16 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

A new class of copulas, termed the MGL copula class, is introduced. The new copula originates from extracting the dependence function of the multivariate generalized log-Moyal-gamma distribution whose marginals follow the univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-23 Zhengxiao Li , Jan Beirlant , Liang Yang

We propose a new semi-parametric distributional regression smoother that is based on a copula decomposition of the joint distribution of the vector of response values. The copula is high-dimensional and constructed by inversion of a pseudo…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva