English
Related papers

Related papers: Construction of SDE-based wind speed models with e…

200 papers

We propose a new class of physics-informed neural networks, called physics-informed Variational Autoencoder (PI-VAE), to solve stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or inverse problems involving SDEs. In these problems the governing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Weiheng Zhong , Hadi Meidani

In this paper, we propose a data-driven framework for model discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from a single trajectory, without requiring the ergodicity or stationary assumption on the underlying continuous process. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Munawar Ali , Purba Das , Qi Feng , Liyao Gao , Guang Lin

Moment estimation for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is fundamental to the formal reasoning and verification of stochastic dynamical systems, yet remains challenging and is rarely available in closed form. In this paper, we study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Shenghua Feng , Jie An , Naijun Zhan , Fanjiang Xu

Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

We study stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE) where the coefficients depend on the moving averages of the state process. As a first contribution, we provide sufficient conditions under which a linear path functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Salvatore Federico , Peter Tankov

Wind is one kind of high-efficient, environmentally-friendly and cost-effective energy source. Wind power, as one of the largest renewable energy in the world, has been playing a more and more important role in supplying electricity. Though…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Wei Fan , Yanjie Fu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian , Yuanchun Zhou , Hui Xiong

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Dynamic equivalent models (DEMs) are necessities for the small-signal stability (SSS) analysis of the power system with large-scale wind farms (WFs). This paper proposes a mode clustering based dynamic equivalent modeling method of WFs for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiuqiang He , Hua Geng , Geng Yang

A novel model of intermittency is presented in which the dynamics of the rates of energy transfer between successive steps in the energy cascade is described by a hierarchy of stochastic differential equations. The probability distribution…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-10-27 Domingos S. P. Salazar , Giovani L. Vasconcelos

Recent advances in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have enabled robust modeling of real-world dynamical processes across diverse domains, such as finance, health, and systems biology. However, parameter estimation for SDEs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Long Van Tran , Truyen Tran , Phuoc Nguyen

We introduce a guided stochastic sampling method that augments sampling from diffusion models with physics-based guidance derived from partial differential equation (PDE) residuals and observational constraints, ensuring generated samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Andrew Millard , Fredrik Lindsten , Zheng Zhao

The area enclosed by the two-dimensional Brownian motion in the plane was studied by L\'evy, who found the characteristic function and probability density of this random variable. For other planar processes, in particular ergodic diffusions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Johan du Buisson , Thamu D. P. Mnyulwa , Hugo Touchette

In this paper we present a new method for deriving It\^{o} stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) from delayed chemical master equations (DCMEs). Considering alternative formulations of SDDEs that can be derived from the same DCME,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-09 F. Fatehi , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

We study the dynamics of a continuous-time model of the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) for the least-square problem. Indeed, pursuing the work of Li et al. (2019), we analyze Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) that model SGD either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Adrien Schertzer , Loucas Pillaud-Vivien

Marcus stochastic differential equations (SDEs) often are appropriate models for stochastic dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian Levy processes and have wide applications in engineering and physical sciences. The probability density of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Xu Sun , Xiaofan Li , Yayun Zheng

The problem of model selection in the context of a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has not been touched upon in the literature. Indeed, properties of Bayes factors have not been studied even in single SDE based model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Wind is the principal driver in the wind erosion models. The hourly wind speed data were generally required for precisely wind erosion modeling. In this study, a simple method to generate hourly wind speed data from daily wind statistics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-16 Zhongling Guo

An accurate and timely assessment of wind speed and energy output allows an efficient planning and management of this resource on the power grid. Wind energy, especially at high resolution, calls for the development of nonlinear statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-17 Matthew Bonas , Paolo Giani , Paola Crippa , Stefano Castruccio

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

This review maps developments in stochastic modeling, highlighting non-standard approaches and their applications to biology and epidemiology. It brings together four strands: (1) core models for systems that evolve with randomness; (2)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Yassine Sabbar , Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar