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In contrast to the study of Langevin equations in a homogeneous environment in the literature, the study on Langevin equations in randomly-varying environments is relatively scarce. Almost all the existing works require random environments…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

We develop a variant of rough path theory tailor-made for analyzing a class of financial asset price models known as rough volatility models. As an application, we prove a pathwise large deviation principle (LDP) for a certain class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Masaaki Fukasawa , Ryoji Takano

We investigate a new task in human motion prediction, which is predicting motions under unexpected physical perturbation potentially involving multiple people. Compared with existing research, this task involves predicting less controlled,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jiangbei Yue , Baiyi Li , Julien Pettré , Armin Seyfried , He Wang

One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, or floods due to persisting rains are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet

We prove two Large deviations principles (LDP) in the zone of moderate deviation probabilities. First we establish LDP for the conditional distributions of moderate deviations of empirical bootstrap measures given empirical probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Mikhail Ermakov

Let $Z=\{Z(t): t\in \mathbb R\}$ be a stochastic process with trajectories in space $\mathbb D (\mathbb R)$. It is assumed that there exists an essentially smooth function $A:\mathbb R\to (-\infty, \infty] $ such that, for all $\alpha \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 A. A. Borovkov , K. A. Borovkov

We prove a Large Deviations Principle (LDP) for systems of diffusions (particles) interacting through their ranks, when the number of particles tends to infinity. We show that the limiting particle density is given by the unique solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Amir Dembo , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , S. R. Srinivasa Varadhan , Ofer Zeitouni

We establish, under the Cramer exponential moment condition in a neighbourhood of zero, the Extended Large Deviation Principle for the Random Walk and the Compound Poisson processes in the metric space $\V$ of functions of finite variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 F. C. Klebaner , A. A. Mogulskii

We consider a discrete-time random walk on a one-dimensional lattice with space and time-dependent random jump probabilities, known as the Beta random walk. We are interested in the probability that, for a given realization of the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-28 Alexander K. Hartmann , Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal

Using the discrepancy metric, we analyze the rate of convergence of a random walk on the circle generated by d rotations, and establish sharp rates that show that badly approximable d-tuples in R^d give rise to walks with the fastest…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Doug Hensley , Francis Edward Su

Starting with the large deviation principle (LDP) for the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi binomial random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ (edge indicators are i.i.d.), due to Chatterjee and Varadhan (2011), we derive the LDP for the uniform random graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Amir Dembo , Eyal Lubetzky

Large deviation functions are an essential tool in the statistics of rare events. Often they can be obtained by contraction from a so-called level 2 large deviation {\em functional} characterizing the empirical density of the underlying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-24 Johannes Hoppenau , Daniel Nickelsen , Andreas Engel

Rare events in stochastic processes with heavy-tailed distributions are controlled by the big jump principle, which states that a rare large fluctuation is produced by a single event and not by an accumulation of coherent small deviations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-13 Raffaella Burioni , Alessandro Vezzani

Rare event statistics for random walks on complex networks are investigated using the large deviations formalism. Within this formalism, rare events are realized as typical events in a suitably deformed path-ensemble, and their statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-30 Caterina De Bacco , Alberto Guggiola , Reimer Kühn , Pierre Paga

We consider a family of positive operator valued measures associated with representations of compact connected Lie groups. For many independent copies of a single state and a tensor power representation we show that the observed probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alonso Botero , Matthias Christandl , Péter Vrana

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

For an arbitrary negative Schwarzian unimodal map with non-flat critical point, we establish the level-2 Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for empirical distributions. We also give an example of a multimodal map for which the level-2 LDP does…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Hiroki Takahasi , Masato Tsujii

We prove large deviation results for the position of the rightmost particle, denoted by $M_n$, in a one-dimensional branching random walk in a case when Cram\'er's condition is not satisfied. More precisely we consider step size…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari