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Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

Spearman's rank correlation test is commonly used in astronomy to discern whether a set of two variables are correlated or not. Unlike most other quantities quoted in astronomical literature, the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-01 P. A. Curran

The use of degree-degree correlations to model realistic networks which are characterized by their Pearson's coefficient, has become widespread. However the effect on how different correlation algorithms produce different results on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-30 L. D. Valdez , C. Buono , L. A. Braunstein , P. A. Macri

Pearson's correlation is one of the most common measures of linear dependence. Recently, Bernardo (2015) introduced a flexible class of priors to study this measure in a Bayesian setting. For this large class of priors we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-01 Alexander Ly , Maarten Marsman , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

In behavioral and psychiatric research, data consisting of a per-subject proportion of "successes" and "failures" over a finite number of trials often arise. This kind of clustered binary data are usually non-normally distributed, which can…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-09 Alberto Ferrari , Mario Comelli

We consider inference for the parameters of a linear model when the covariates are random and the relationship between response and covariates is possibly non-linear. Conventional inference methods such as z-intervals perform poorly in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-17 Daniel McCarthy , Kai Zhang , Lawrence Brown , Richard Berk , Andreas Buja , Edward George , Linda Zhao

In recent years, a number of results have been developed which connect information measures and estimation measures under various models, including, predominently, Gaussian and Poisson models. More recent results due to Taborda and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-01 Dongning Guo

We consider the problem of choosing between parametric models for a discrete observable, taking a Bayesian approach in which the within-model prior distributions are allowed to be improper. In order to avoid the ambiguity in the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio , Silvia Columbu

Inferring linear relationships lies at the heart of many empirical investigations. A measure of linear dependence should correctly evaluate the strength of the relationship as well as qualify whether it is meaningful for the population.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Kaustubh R. Patil , Simon B. Eickhoff , Robert Langner

We consider the task of constructing confidence intervals with differential privacy. We propose two private variants of the non-parametric bootstrap, which privately compute the median of the results of multiple "little" bootstraps run on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Karan Chadha , John Duchi , Rohith Kuditipudi

We consider the sparse high-dimensional linear regression model $Y=Xb+\epsilon$ where $b$ is a sparse vector. For the Bayesian approach to this problem, many authors have considered the behavior of the posterior distribution when, in truth,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Dana Yang

Commonalities and differences in correlation analysis in terms of phase space, conditioning and uncorrelatedness are discussed. The Poisson process is not generally appropriate as reference distribution for normalisation and cumulants, so…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 H. C. Eggers

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

In this paper, we propose two new estimators of the multivariate rank correlation coefficient Spearman's footrule which are based on two general estimators for Average Orthant Dependence measures. We compare the new proposals with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Ana Pérez , Mercedes Prieto-Alaiz , Fernando Chamizo , Eckhard Liebscher , Manuel Úbeda-Flores

Parametric empirical Bayes (EB) estimators have been widely used in variety of fields including small area estimation, disease mapping. Since EB estimator is constructed by plugging in the estimator of parameters in prior distributions, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Bootstrap inference is a powerful tool for obtaining robust inference for quantiles and difference-in-quantiles estimators. The computationally intensive nature of bootstrap inference has made it infeasible in large-scale experiments. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Mårten Schultzberg , Sebastian Ankargren

A new method for including systematic errors in the regression with Poisson data is reviewed in this contribution, with emphasis on applications to astronomical spectra. The method consists of generalizing the usual Poisson log-likelihood,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-23 M. Bonamente

In the era of open data, Poisson and other count regression models are increasingly important. Still, conventional Poisson regression has remaining issues in terms of identifiability and computational efficiency. Especially, due to an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Daisuke Murakami , Tomoko Matsui

Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator or the Lasso, introduced by Tibshirani (1996), is a popular estimation procedure in multiple linear regression when underlying design has a sparse structure, because of its property that it…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-31 Debraj Das , S. N. Lahiri