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There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Stroke is a significant cause of mortality and morbidity, necessitating early predictive strategies to minimize risks. Traditional methods for evaluating patients, such as Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II, IV) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Qizhang Feng , Jiayi Yuan , Forhan Bin Emdad , Karim Hanna , Xia Hu , Zhe He

Machine learning models that utilize patient data across time (rather than just the most recent measurements) have increased performance for many risk stratification tasks in the intensive care unit. However, many of these models and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Nari Johnson , Sonali Parbhoo , Andrew Slavin Ross , Finale Doshi-Velez

Classification is a common statistical task in many areas. In order to ameliorate the performance of the existing methods, there are always some new classification procedures proposed. These procedures, especially those raised in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

The success of neural networks comes hand in hand with a desire for more interpretability. We focus on text classifiers and make them more interpretable by having them provide a justification, a rationale, for their predictions. We approach…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Jasmijn Bastings , Wilker Aziz , Ivan Titov

When using machine learning techniques in decision-making processes, the interpretability of the models is important. In the present paper, we adopted the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP), which is based on fair profit allocation among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Yasunobu Nohara , Koutarou Matsumoto , Hidehisa Soejima , Naoki Nakashima

This paper proposes a new framework for learning a rule ensemble model that is both accurate and interpretable. A rule ensemble is an interpretable model based on the linear combination of weighted rules. In practice, we often face the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Kentaro Kanamori

Stroke remains one of the most critical global health challenges, ranking as the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. This study explores the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anastasija Tashkova , Stefan Eftimov , Bojan Ristov , Slobodan Kalajdziski

Machine learning systems show significant promise for forecasting patient adverse events via risk scores. However, these risk scores implicitly encode assumptions about future interventions that the patient is likely to receive, based on…

Tree ensembles are non-parametric methods widely recognized for their accuracy and ability to capture complex interactions. While these models excel at prediction, they are difficult to interpret and may fail to uncover useful relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder , Peter Radchenko

Stroke is a major cause of death and permanent impairment, making it a major worldwide health concern. For prompt intervention and successful preventative tactics, early risk assessment is essential. To address this challenge, we used…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-02 A S M Ahsanul Sarkar Akib , Raduana Khawla , Abdul Hasib

Precision medicine is currently a topic of great interest in clinical and intervention science. One way to formalize precision medicine is through a treatment regime, which is a sequence of decision rules, one per stage of clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-07 Yichi Zhang , Eric B. Laber , Anastasios Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

Rule-based decision models are attractive due to their interpretability. However, existing rule induction methods often result in long and consequently less interpretable rule models. This problem can often be attributed to the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-29 Remy Kusters , Yusik Kim , Marine Collery , Christian de Sainte Marie , Shubham Gupta

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

When quantitative models are used to support decision-making on complex and important topics, understanding a model's ``reasoning'' can increase trust in its predictions, expose hidden biases, or reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Patrick Jaillet , Sebastien Martin

Aim: This study aims to enhance interpretability and explainability of multi-modal prediction models integrating imaging and tabular patient data. Methods: We adapt the xAI methods Grad-CAM and Occlusion to multi-modal, partly interpretable…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-10 Jonas Brändli , Maurice Schneeberger , Lisa Herzog , Loran Avci , Nordin Dari , Martin Häansel , Hakim Baazaoui , Pascal Bühler , Susanne Wegener , Beate Sick

The current definition of a Bayesian credible set cannot, in general, achieve an arbitrarily preassigned credible level. This drawback is particularly acute for classification problems, where there are only a finite number of achievable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Chaegeun Song , Bing Li

Complex machine learning algorithms are used more and more often in critical tasks involving text data, leading to the development of interpretability methods. Among local methods, two families have emerged: those computing importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Gianluigi Lopardo , Damien Garreau

Robotic systems are more present in our society everyday. In human-robot environments, it is crucial that end-users may correctly understand their robotic team-partners, in order to collaboratively complete a task. To increase action…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Francisco Cruz , Richard Dazeley , Peter Vamplew , Ithan Moreira

Complex classifiers may exhibit "embarassing" failures in cases where humans can easily provide a justified classification. Avoiding such failures is obviously of key importance. In this work, we focus on one such setting, where a label is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Deborah Cohen , Amit Daniely , Amir Globerson , Gal Elidan
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