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Effective intervention strategies for epidemics rely on the identification of their origin and on the robustness of the predictions made by network disease models. We introduce a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework to infer model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Karen Larson , Clark Bowman , Zhizhong Chen , Panagiotis Hadjidoukas , Costas Papadimitriou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Anastasios Matzavinos

Many works have been proposed in the literature to capture the dynamics of diffusion in networks. While some of them define graphical markovian models to extract temporal relationships between node infections in networks, others consider…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Sylvain Lamprier

To understand large, connected systems, we cannot only zoom into the details. We also need to see the large-scale features from afar. One way to take a step back and get the whole picture is to model the systems as a network. However, many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-26 Petter Holme , Jari Saramäki

Adaptive networks have been recently introduced in the context of disease propagation on complex networks. They account for the mutual interaction between the network topology and the states of the nodes. Until now, existing models have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-28 Vincent Marceau , Pierre-André Noël , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

Epidemic processes are used commonly for modeling and analysis of biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks. The idea of competing viruses has been explored recently, motivated by the spread of different ideas along…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Philip E. Paré , Ji Liu , Carolyn L. Beck , Angelia Nedić , Tamer Başar

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

Many models of virus propagation in Computer Networks inspired by {\bf SIS,SIR,}\\ {\bf SEIR}, etc. epidemic disease propagation mathematical models that can be found in the epidemiology field have been proposed in the last two decades. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Carlos Rodriguez Lucatero

While most existing epidemic models focus on the influence of isolated factors, infectious disease transmission is inherently shaped by the complex interplay of multiple interacting elements. To better capture real-world dynamics, it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-18 Guangyuan Mei , Yao Cai , Su-Su Zhang , Ying Huang , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

The application of the network approach to the urban case poses several questions in terms of how to deal with metric distances, what kind of graph representation to use, what kind of measures to investigate, how to deepen the correlation…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergio Porta , Paolo Crucitti , Vito Latora

Forecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 Charles Murphy , Edward Laurence , Antoine Allard

We develop Graph-Coupled Hidden Markov Models (GCHMMs) for modeling the spread of infectious disease locally within a social network. Unlike most previous research in epidemiology, which typically models the spread of infection at the level…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Wen Dong , Alex Pentland , Katherine A. Heller

This study examines long-term trends and shifting behavior in the collaboration network of mathematics literature, using a subset of data from Mathematical Reviews spanning 1985-2009. Rather than modeling the network cumulatively, this…

We study the dynamics of epidemic spreading processes aimed at spontaneous dissemination of information updates in populations with complex connectivity patterns. The influence of the topological structure of the network in these processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yamir Moreno , Maziar Nekovee , Alessandro Vespignani

We investigate the effects of heterogeneous and clustered contact patterns on the timescale and final size of infectious disease epidemics. The abundance of transitive relationships (the number of 3 cliques) in a network and the variance of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-06-07 Erik M Volz

Models of epidemic spreading on complex networks have attracted great attention among researchers in physics, mathematics, and epidemiology due to their success in predicting and controlling scenarios of epidemic spreading in real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-09 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

In recent years networks have gained unprecedented attention in studying a broad range of topics, among them in complex systems research. In particular, multi-agent systems have seen an increased recognition of the importance of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 László Gulyás , Elenna R. Dugundji

We study a general set of models of social network evolution and dynamics. The models consist of both a dynamics on the network and evolution of the network. Links are formed preferentially between 'similar' nodes, where the similarity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Matteo Marsili , Fernando Vega-Redondo

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto
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