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The Tweedie generalized linear models are commonly applied in the insurance industry to analyze semicontinuous claim data. For better prediction of the aggregated claim size, the mean and dispersion of the Tweedie model are often estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Yuwen Gu

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

Zero inflation is a common nuisance while monitoring disease progression over time. This article proposes a new observation driven model for zero inflated and over-dispersed count time series. The counts given the past history of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Vurukonda Sathish , Siuli Mukhopadhyay , Rashmi Tiwari

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

We consider the problem of choosing between parametric models for a discrete observable, taking a Bayesian approach in which the within-model prior distributions are allowed to be improper. In order to avoid the ambiguity in the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio , Silvia Columbu

In recent years, advances in high throughput sequencing technology have led to a need for specialized methods for the analysis of digital gene expression data. While gene expression data measured on a microarray take on continuous values…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-29 Daniela M. Witten

In the regression problem, L1 and L2 are the most commonly used loss functions, which produce mean predictions with different biases. However, the predictions are neither robust nor adequate enough since they only capture a few conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Faen Zhang , Xinyu Fan , Hui Xu , Pengcheng Zhou , Yujian He , Junlong Liu

Dispersion is a fundamental concept in statistics, yet standard approaches - especially via stochastic orders - face limitations in the discrete setting. In particular, the classical dispersive order, well-established for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

Advances in data collection are producing growing volumes of temporal count observations, making adapted modeling increasingly necessary. In this work, we introduce a generative framework for independent component analysis of temporal count…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Alexandre Chaussard , Anna Bonnet , Sylvain Le Corff

Wireless sensor networks (WSNs) have attracted considerable attention in recent years and motivate a host of new challenges for distributed signal processing. The problem of distributed or decentralized estimation has often been considered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Joel B. Predd , Sanjeev R. Kulkarni , H. Vincent Poor

There is growing evidence that converting targets to soft targets in supervised learning can provide considerable gains in performance. Much of this work has considered classification, converting hard zero-one values to soft labels---such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Ehsan Imani , Martha White

This work introduces Bayesian quantile regression modeling framework for the analysis of longitudinal count data. In this model, the response variable is not continuous and hence an artificial smoothing of counts is incorporated. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Sanket Jantre

In behavioral and psychiatric research, data consisting of a per-subject proportion of "successes" and "failures" over a finite number of trials often arise. This kind of clustered binary data are usually non-normally distributed, which can…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-09 Alberto Ferrari , Mario Comelli

Local polynomial regression of order at least one often performs poorly in regions of sparse data. Local constant regression is exceptional in this regard, though it is the least accurate method in general, especially at the boundaries of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Chunlei Ge , W. John Braun

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

In this work, we propose a novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression based on conditional diffusion models. Specifically, we construct a conditional diffusion model to learn the distribution of the response variable given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jinyuan Chang , Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Junjie Shi

The Poisson-binomial distribution is useful in many applied problems in engineering, actuarial science, and data mining. The Poisson-binomial distribution models the distribution of the sum of independent but not identically distributed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-07 Man Zhang , Yili Hong , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Traditional regression and prediction tasks often only provide deterministic point estimates. To estimate the distribution or uncertainty of the response variable, traditional methods either assume that the posterior distribution of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan