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Related papers: Inverse Problems in a Bayesian Setting

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This paper is concerned with a lesser-studied problem in the context of model-based, uncertainty quantification (UQ), that of optimization/design/control under uncertainty. The solution of such problems is hindered not only by the usual…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

The Bayesian inversion method demonstrates significant potential for solving inverse problems, enabling both point estimation and uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation may become unstable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ruibiao Song , Liying Zhang

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

We propose a novel approach for estimating conditional or parametric expectations in the setting where obtaining samples or evaluating integrands is costly. Through the framework of probabilistic numerical methods (such as Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Zonghao Chen , Masha Naslidnyk , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a process to quantify the uncertainties in random input parameters while achieving consistency between code simulations and physical observations. In this paper, we performed inverse UQ using an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-22 Xu Wu , Tomasz Kozlowski , Hadi Meidani , Koroush Shirvan

Solving Bayesian inverse problems typically involves deriving a posterior distribution using Bayes' rule, followed by sampling from this posterior for analysis. Sampling methods, such as general-purpose Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), are…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Jasper M. Everink , Chao Zhang , Amal M. A. Alghamdi , Rémi Laumont , Nicolai A. B. Riis , Jakob S. Jørgensen

The Bayesian approach has proved to be a coherent approach to handle ill posed Inverse problems. However, the Bayesian calculations need either an optimization or an integral calculation. The maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation requires…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

We consider the Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems when the underlying operator depends on an unknown parameter. Allowing for finite dimensional as well as infinite dimensional parameters, the theory covers several models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Mathias Trabs

We present a computational framework for estimating the uncertainty in the numerical solution of linearized infinite-dimensional statistical inverse problems. We adopt the Bayesian inference formulation: given observational data and their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Tan Bui-Thanh , Omar Ghattas , James Martin , Georg Stadler

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

The classical approach to inverse problems is based on the optimization of a misfit function. Despite its computational appeal, such an approach suffers from many shortcomings, e.g., non-uniqueness of solutions, modeling prior knowledge,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-22 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Ilias Bilionis , Ioannis Katsounaros , Nicholas Zabaras

In this article, the solution of a statistical inverse problem $M = AU+\mathcal{E}$ by the Bayesian approach is studied where $U$ is a function on the unit circle $\mathbb{T}$, i.e., a periodic signal. The mapping $A$ is a smoothing linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-31 Tapio Helin

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Additive manufacturing (AM) technology is being increasingly adopted in a wide variety of application areas due to its ability to rapidly produce, prototype, and customize designs. AM techniques afford significant opportunities in regard to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-24 Ziyu Xie , Wen Jiang , Congjian Wang , Xu Wu

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

A nonparametric Bayesian approach is developed to determine quantum potentials from empirical data for quantum systems at finite temperature. The approach combines the likelihood model of quantum mechanics with a priori information over…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. C. Lemm , J. Uhlig , A. Weiguny

Effective Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) represents a key aspect for reliable deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in automated decision-making and beyond. Yet, for LLM generation with multiple choice structure, the state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Ramzi Dakhmouche , Adrien Letellier , Hossein Gorji

In inverse problems, we often have access to data consisting of paired samples $(x,y)\sim p_{X,Y}(x,y)$ where $y$ are partial observations of a physical system, and $x$ represents the unknowns of the problem. Under these circumstances, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-17 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Philipp A. Witte , Felix J. Herrmann

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (IUQ) method has been widely used to quantify the uncertainty of Physical Model Parameters (PMPs) in nuclear Thermal Hydraulics (TH) systems. This paper introduces a novel hierarchical Bayesian model which…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-27 Chen Wang , Xu Wu , Tomasz Kozlowski