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We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

This paper develops an asymptotic and inferential theory for fixed-effects panel quantile regression (FEQR) that delivers inference robust to pervasive common shocks. Such shocks induce cross-sectional dependence that is central in many…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-23 Harold D. Chiang , Antonio F. Galvao , Chia-Min Wei

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

We propose a sequential monitoring scheme to find structural breaks in real estate markets. The changes in the real estate prices are modeled by a combination of linear and autoregressive terms. The monitoring scheme is based on a detector…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-12 Lajos Horváth , Zhenya Liu , Shanglin Lu

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

In qualitative statistics, permutation tests are very popular, mainly because of their finite-sample exactness under exchangeability. However, in non-exchangeable settings, the covariance structure of permuted statistics typically differs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Merle Munko , Paavo Sattler

Traditional member-based two-step design approaches included in current structural codes for steel structures, as well as more recent system-based direct-design alternatives, require building rigorous structural reliability frameworks for…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-10-27 Itsaso Arrayago , Kim J. R. Rasmussen , Esther Real

The stochastic block model is a popular tool for detecting community structures in network data. Detecting the difference between two community structures is an important issue for stochastic block models. However, the two-sample test has…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Kang Fu , Jianwei Hu , Seydou Keita , Hao Liu

A general structural equation model is fitted on a panel data set that consists of $I$ correlated samples. The correlated samples could be data from correlated populations or correlated observations from occasions of panel data. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Savas Papadopoulos , Yasuo Amemiya

We propose new concepts in order to analyze and model the dependence structure between two time series. Our methods rely exclusively on the order structure of the data points. Hence, the methods are stable under monotone transformations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Alexander Schnurr , Herold Dehling

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

Empirical diagnosis of stability has received considerable attention, mostly focused on variance metrics for early warning signals of abrupt system change. Despite this, the theoretical foundation and application has been limited to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-09-11 Zachary C Williams , Dylan E McNamara

We report the first experimental realization of pattern formation in a spatially extended nonlinear system when the system is alternated between two states, neither of which exhibits patterning. Dynamical equations modeling the system are…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. Sharpe , P. L. Ramazza , N. Sungar , Karl Saunders

In this article, we study tests of independence for data with arbitrary distributions in the non-serial case, i.e., for independent and identically distributed random vectors, as well as in the serial case, i.e., for time series. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

A new statistical procedure, based on a modified spline basis, is proposed to identify the linear components in the panel data model with fixed effects. Under some mild assumptions, the proposed procedure is shown to consistently estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-21 Ruiqi Liu , Ben Boukai , Zuofeng Shang

In this paper we consider a Lagrange Multiplier-type test (LM) to detect change in the mean of time series with heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We derive the limiting distribution under the null, and prove the consistency of the test…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-02 Mohamed Boutahar

We present a novel approach to test for heteroscedasticity of a non-stationary time series that is based on Gini's mean difference of logarithmic local sample variances. In order to analyse the large sample behaviour of our test statistic,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Sara Kristin Schmidt , Max Wornowizki , Roland Fried , Herold Dehling

This paper proposes a new test for covariance matrices structure based on the correction to Rao's score test in large dimensional framework. By generalizing the CLT for the linear spectral statistics of large dimensional sample covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-22 Dandan Jiang

We consider a $d$-dimensional continuous martingale $X(t)$ with quadratic variation matrix $\langle X\rangle_t=\int_0^t \Sigma(s)\,ds$ and develop tests for the rank of its spot covariance matrix $\Sigma(t)$, $t\in[0,1]$. The process $X$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Markus Reiß , Lars Winkelmann

We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani