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We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

Targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLEs) are asymptotically optimal among regular, asymptotically linear estimators. In small samples, however, we may be far from "asymptopia" and not reap the benefits of optimality. Here we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Noel Pimentel , Alejandro Schuler , Mark van der Laan

Approximate inference techniques are the cornerstone of probabilistic methods based on Gaussian process priors. Despite this, most work approximately optimizes standard divergence measures such as the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Rui Zhang , Christian J. Walder , Edwin V. Bonilla , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

In this paper, we study sample size thresholds for maximum likelihood estimation for tensor normal models. Given the model parameters and the number of samples, we determine whether, almost surely, (1) the likelihood function is bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Harm Derksen , Visu Makam , Michael Walter

An asymptotically optimal blind calibration scheme of uniform linear arrays for narrowband Gaussian signals is proposed. Rather than taking the direct Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach for joint estimation of all the unknown model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-01 Amir Weiss , Arie Yeredor

Nonuniform subsampling methods are effective to reduce computational burden and maintain estimation efficiency for massive data. Existing methods mostly focus on subsampling with replacement due to its high computational efficiency. If the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jun Yu , HaiYing Wang , Mingyao Ai , Huiming Zhang

Quantum state tomography (QST) is typically performed from a frequentist viewpoint using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) which seeks to find the best plausible state consistent with the data by maximizing a likelihood function /…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-22 Daniel J. Lum , Yaakov Weinstein

We propose and study properties of maximum likelihood estimators in the class of conditional transformation models. Based on a suitable explicit parameterisation of the unconditional or conditional transformation function, we establish a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Torsten Hothorn , Lisa Möst , Peter Bühlmann

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

Generalized linear models (GLM) are link function based statistical models. Many supervised learning algorithms are extensions of GLMs and have link functions built into the algorithm to model different outcome distributions. There are two…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Colleen M. Farrelly , Srikanth Namuduri , Uchenna Chukwu

Inference in models where the parameter is defined by moment inequalities is of interest in many areas of economics. This paper develops a new method for improving the performance of generalized moment selection (GMS) testing procedures in…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-26 Rami V. Tabri , Christopher D. Walker

Recently, a framework for application-oriented optimal experiment design has been introduced. In this context, the distance of the estimated system from the true one is measured in terms of a particular end-performance metric. This…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-28 Dimitrios Katselis , Cristian R. Rojas , Carolyn L. Beck

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Do expert-defined or diagnostically-labeled data groups align with clusters inferred through statistical modeling? If not, where do discrepancies between predefined labels and model-based groupings occur and why? In this work, we introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Patricia Puchhammer , Ines Wilms , Peter Filzmoser

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

We consider relative model comparison for the parametric coefficients of a semiparametric ergodic L\'{e}vy driven model observed at high-frequency. Our asymptotics is based on the fully explicit two-stage Gaussian quasi-likelihood function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

Gaussian mixtures are a powerful and widely used tool to model non-Gaussian estimation problems. They are able to describe measurement errors that follow arbitrary distributions and can represent ambiguity in assignment tasks like point set…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Tim Pfeifer , Sven Lange , Peter Protzel

In quantum state tomography, the estimated frequencies do not correspond directly to a physical quantum state, due to statistical fluctuations. Thus, one resorts to point estimators that return the state that matches observations the best,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-09 Sacha Schwarz , Bruno Eckmann , Denis Rosset , André Stefanov

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

For estimating the large covariance matrix with a limited sample size, we propose the covariance model with general linear structure (CMGL) by employing the general link function to connect the covariance of the continuous response vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Xinyan Fan , Wei Lan , Tao Zou , Chih-Ling Tsai