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A nonparametric method to predict non-Markovian time series of partially observed dynamics is developed. The prediction problem we consider is a supervised learning task of finding a regression function that takes a delay embedded…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-14 Faheem Gilani , Dimitrios Giannakis , John Harlim

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

In presence of sparse noise we propose kernel regression for predicting output vectors which are smooth over a given graph. Sparse noise models the training outputs being corrupted either with missing samples or large perturbations. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-07 Arun Venkitaraman , Pascal Frossard , Saikat Chatterjee

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by predictive recurrent neural networks based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine influence of the noise component in both the training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Boris Rubinstein

Transformers are designed for discrete tokens, yet many real-world signals are continuous processes observed through noisy sampling. Discrete tokenizations (raw values, patches, finite differences) can be brittle in low signal-to-noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Griffin Kearney

A rigorous formulation of the dynamics of a signal processing scheme aimed at dense signal scanning without any loss in accuracy is introduced and analyzed. Related methods proposed in the recent past lack a satisfactory analysis of whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-03 Markus Thom , Franz Gritschneder

Application of nonparametric and semiparametric regression techniques to high-dimensional time series data has been hampered due to the lack of effective tools to address the ``curse of dimensionality.'' Under rather weak conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Li Wang , Lijian Yang

A different route to identification of time-invariant linear systems has been recently proposed which does not require committing to a specific parametric model structure. Impulse responses are described in a nonparametric Bayesian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-15 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso , Giuseppe De Nicolao

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Efficient tools for predicting the drag of rough walls in turbulent flows would have a tremendous impact. However, methods for drag prediction rely on experiments or numerical simulations which are costly and time-consuming. Data-driven…

We propose a kernel regression method to predict a target signal lying over a graph when an input observation is given. The input and the output could be two different physical quantities. In particular, the input may not be a graph signal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-02 Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee , Peter Händel

Strongly lensed variable quasars can serve as precise cosmological probes, provided that time delays between the image fluxes can be accurately measured. A number of methods have been proposed to address this problem. In this paper, we…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-15 Sultanah AL Otaibi , Peter Tiňo , Juan C Cuevas-Tello , Ilya Mandel , Somak Raychaudhury

One major challenge for living cells is the measurement and prediction of signals corrupted by noise. In general, cells need to make decisions based on their compressed representation of noisy, time-varying signals. Strategies for signal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Jenny Poulton , Age Tjalma , Lotte Slim , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Graph models are relevant in many fields, such as distributed computing, intelligent tutoring systems or social network analysis. In many cases, such models need to take changes in the graph structure into account, i.e. a varying number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Benjamin Paaßen , Christina Göpfert , Barbara Hammer

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

This work proposes a Stochastic Variational Deep Kernel Learning method for the data-driven discovery of low-dimensional dynamical models from high-dimensional noisy data. The framework is composed of an encoder that compresses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Nicolò Botteghi , Mengwu Guo , Christoph Brune

A hybrid approach, incorporating concepts of nonlinear dynamics in artificial neural networks (ANN), is proposed to model time series generated by complex dynamic systems. We introduce well known features used in the study of dynamic…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 D. R. Kulkarni , A. S. Pandya , J. C. Parikh

In the light of regularized dynamic time warping kernels, this paper re-considers the concept of time elastic centroid for a setof time series. We derive a new algorithm based on a probabilistic interpretation of kernel alignment matrices.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Pierre-François Marteau

Dynamics of complex systems is studied by first considering a chaotic time series generated by Lorenz equations and adding noise to it. The trend (smooth behavior) is separated from fluctuations at different scales using wavelet analysis…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Jitendra C. Parikh

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos
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