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Related papers: From Ambiguity Aversion to a Generalized Expected …

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Ambiguity-averse decision makers typically dislike not only the presence of ambiguous events but also their increase, contrary to what standard ambiguity models predict. We axiomatically study such a decision maker. She avoids ex ante…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-25 Yutaro Akita , Kensei Nakamura

Theoretically as well as experimentally it is investigated how people represent their knowledge in order to make decisions or to share their knowledge with others. Experiment 1 probes into the ways how people 6ather information about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alf C. Zimmer

Quantum decision theory (QDT) is a recently developed theory of decision making based on the mathematics of Hilbert spaces, a framework known in physics for its application to quantum mechanics. This framework formalizes the concept of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 M. Favre , A. Wittwer , H. R. Heinimann , V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both the drift and volatility of the driving process. At a technical level, the analysis requires a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry Epstein , Shaolin Ji

The influence of additional information on the decision making of agents, who are interacting members of a society, is analyzed within the mathematical framework based on the use of quantum probabilities. The introduction of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-12 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We discuss how the apparently objective probabilities predicted by quantum mechanics can be treated in the framework of Bayesian probability theory, in which all probabilities are subjective. Our results are in accord with earlier work by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Mark Srednicki

Subjective expected utility theory assumes that decision-makers possess unlimited computational resources to reason about their choices; however, virtually all decisions in everyday life are made under resource constraints - i.e.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-07 Pedro A. Ortega , Alan A. Stocker

We propose an alternative and unifying framework for decision-making that, by using quantum mechanics, provides more generalised cognitive and decision models with the ability to represent more information than classical models. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Catarina Moreira , Lauren Fell , Shahram Dehdashti , Peter Bruza , Andreas Wichert

Human-centered systems of systems such as social networks, Internet of Things, or healthcare systems are growingly becoming major facets of modern life. Realistic models of human behavior in such systems play a significant role in their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-28 Aghdas. Meghdadi , M. R. Akbarzadeh-T. , Kourosh Javidan

We distinguish two frameworks for decisions under ambiguity: evaluate-then-aggregate (ETA) and aggregate-then-evaluate (ATE). Given a statistic that represents the decision maker's pure-risk preferences (such as expected utility) and an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-04 Zachary Van Oosten , Ruodu Wang

This paper describes an approach to economics that is inspired by quantum computing, and is motivated by the need to develop a consistent quantum mathematical framework for economics. The traditional neoclassical approach assumes that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-22 David Orrell , Monireh Houshmand

An extended analysis is given of the program, originally suggested by Deutsch, of solving the probability problem in the Everett interpretation by means of decision theory. Deutsch's own proof is discussed, and alternatives are presented…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Wallace

One purpose -- quite a few thinkers would say the main purpose -- of seeking knowledge about the world is to enhance our ability to make good decisions. An item of knowledge that can make no conceivable difference with regard to anything we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Henry E. Kyburg

We formulate quantum computing solutions to a large class of dynamic nonlinear asset pricing models using algorithms, in theory exponentially more efficient than classical ones, which leverage the quantum properties of superposition and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Eric Ghysels , Jack Morgan

We present the mathematical model of decision making (DM) of agents acting in a complex and uncertain environment (combining huge variety of economical, financial, behavioral, and geo-political factors). To describe interaction of agents…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-25 F. Bagarello , A. Khrennikov , E. Haven

In their article, "Egalitarianism under Severe Uncertainty", Philosophy and Public Affairs, 46:3, 2018, Thomas Rowe and Alex Voorhoeve develop an original moral decision theory for cases under uncertainty, called "pluralist egalitarianism…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-04-28 Brian Jabarian

The problem of interpreting quantum theory on a large (e.g. cosmological) scale has been commonly conceived as a search for objective reality in a framework that is fundamentally probabilistic. The Everett programme attempts to evade the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 Brandon Carter

It is well known that ex ante social preferences and expected utility are not always compatible. In this note, we introduce a novel framework that naturally separates social preferences from selfish preferences to answer the following…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Mehmet S. Ismail , Ronald Peeters

We represent preferences that exhibit absolute or relative attitudes towards ambiguity without assuming convexity of preferences. Our analysis is motivated by the recent experimental evidence by Baillon and Placido (2019) indicating that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-02 Francesco Fabbri , Giulio Principi , Lorenzo Stanca

We provide sufficient conditions under which a utility function may be recovered from a finite choice experiment. Identification, as is commonly understood in decision theory, is not enough. We provide a general recoverability result that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-30 Christopher P. Chambers , Federico Echenique , Nicolas S. Lambert