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Several experimental studies claim to be able to predict the outcome of simple decisions from brain signals measured before subjects are aware of their decision. Often, these studies use multivariate pattern recognition methods with the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-21 Marco Rusconi , Angelo Valleriani

We consider a quantum system that is being continuously monitored, giving rise to a measurement signal. From such a stream of data, information needs to be inferred about the underlying system's dynamics. Here we focus on hypothesis testing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Giulio Gasbarri , Matias Bilkis , Elisabet Roda-Salichs , John Calsamiglia

Mutual information has been successfully adopted in filter feature-selection methods to assess both the relevancy of a subset of features in predicting the target variable and the redundancy with respect to other variables. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Mario Beraha , Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini , Andrea Tirinzoni , Marcello Restelli

We propose the density ratio permutation test, a hypothesis test that assesses whether the ratio between two densities is proportional to a known function based on independent samples from each distribution. The test uses an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Alberto Bordino , Thomas B. Berrett

Under mild Markov assumptions, sufficient conditions for strict minimax optimality of sequential tests for multiple hypotheses under distributional uncertainty are derived. First, the design of optimal sequential tests for simple hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Michael Fauss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

In this article, we survey some controversial problems concerning the idea of erasing Which Way information proposed in recent years. A statistical examination of these proposals suggests that whenever the Bayesian rule is taken into…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-08-20 Mohammad Bahrami , Afshin Shafiee

This paper investigates the size performance of Wald tests for CAViaR models (Engle and Manganelli, 2004). We find that the usual estimation strategy on test statistics yields inaccuracies. Indeed, we show that existing density estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Alain Hecq , Li Sun

Any measurement is intended to provide information on a system, namely knowledge about its state. However, we learn from quantum theory that it is generally impossible to extract information without disturbing the state of the system or its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-11-18 Giacomo Mauro D'Ariano , Paolo Perinotti , Alessandro Tosini

Ratios of universal enumerable semimeasures corresponding to hypotheses are investigated as a solution for statistical composite hypotheses testing if an unbounded amount of computation time can be assumed. Influence testing for discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Bruno Bauwens

Suppose that at any stage of a statistical experiment a control variable $X$ that affects the distribution of the observed data $Y$ at this stage can be used. The distribution of $Y$ depends on some unknown parameter $\theta$, and we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-23 Andrey Novikov

The problem of estimating the directed information rate between two discrete processes $\{X_n\}$ and $\{Y_n\}$ via the plug-in (or maximum-likelihood) estimator is considered. When the joint process $\{(X_n,Y_n)\}$ is a Markov chain of a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Maria Skoularidou

We consider probabilistic theories in which the most elementary system, a two-dimensional system, contains one bit of information. The bit is assumed to be contained in any complete set of mutually complementary measurements. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-07-10 Caslav Brukner , Anton Zeilinger

In the classical herding model, asymptotic learning refers to situations where individuals eventually take the correct action regardless of their private information. Classical results identify classes of information structures for which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Itay Kavaler

This essay looks at decision-making with interval-valued probability measures. Existing decision methods have either supplemented expected utility methods with additional criteria of optimality, or have attempted to supplement the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ronald P. Loui

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Hongwei Mei

We introduce an information theoretic measure of statistical structure, called 'binding information', for sets of random variables, and compare it with several previously proposed measures including excess entropy, Bialek et al.'s…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-10 Samer A. Abdallah , Mark D. Plumbley

In this work, we revisit the one- and two-sample testing problems: binary hypothesis testing in which one or both distributions are unknown. For the one-sample test, we provide a more streamlined proof of the asymptotic optimality of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota

Information theoretic measures (entropies, entropy rates, mutual information) are nowadays commonly used in statistical signal processing for real-world data analysis. The present work proposes the use of Auto Mutual Information (Mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 C Granero-Belinchón , S. Roux , P. Abry , N. Garnier

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst
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