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The aim of this paper is twofold. First, three theoretical principles are formalized: randomization, overrepresentation and restriction. We develop these principles and give a rationale for their use in choosing the sampling design in a…

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

We present an optimization algorithm that can identify a global minimum of a potentially nonconvex smooth function with high probability, assuming the Gibbs measure of the potential satisfies a logarithmic Sobolev inequality. Our…

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Survey sampling theory and methods are introduced. Sampling designs and estimation methods are carefully discussed as a textbook for survey sampling. Topics includes Horvitz-Thompson estimation, simple random sampling, stratified sampling,…

A novel approach is proposed to establish a sharp upper bound on the expected supremum of a separable martingale random field, serving as an alternative to classical universal chaining-based methods. The proposed approach begins by deriving…

We propose an unconstrained stochastic approximation method of finding the optimal measure change (in an a priori parametric family) for Monte Carlo simulations. We consider different parametric families based on the Girsanov theorem and…

In a paper from 1995, Wormald gave general criteria for certain parameters in a family of discrete random processes to converge to the solution of a system of differential equations. Based on this method, we show that if some further…

We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem for vector-valued martingale differences using Stein's method, and use Poisson's equation to extend the result to functions of Markov Chains. We then show that these results can be applied to…

We consider random multiplicative functions taking the values $\pm 1$. Using Stein's method for normal approximation, we prove a central limit theorem for the sum of such multiplicative functions in appropriate short intervals.

This paper considers importance sampling for estimation of rare-event probabilities in a specific collection of Markovian jump processes used for e.g. modelling of credit risk. Previous attempts at designing importance sampling algorithms…

Using the spectral measure $\mu_\mathbb{S}$ of the stopping time $\mathbb{S},$ we define the stopping element $X_\mathbb{S}$ as a Daniell integral $\int X_t\,d\mu_\mathbb{S}$ for an adapted stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\in J}$ that is a…

We consider minimization of a smooth nonconvex function with inexact oracle access to gradient and Hessian (without assuming access to the function value) to achieve approximate second-order optimality. A novel feature of our method is that…

Elliptical slice sampling, when adapted to linearly truncated multivariate normal distributions, is a rejection-free Markov chain Monte Carlo method. At its core, it requires analytically constructing an ellipse-polytope intersection. The…

We provide a new projective condition for a stationary real random field indexed by the lattice $\Z^d$ to be well approximated by an orthomartingale in the sense of Cairoli (1969). Ourmain result can be viewed as a multidimensional version…

Orthogonal Monte Carlo (OMC) is a very effective sampling algorithm imposing structural geometric conditions (orthogonality) on samples for variance reduction. Due to its simplicity and superior performance as compared to its Quasi Monte…

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Zernike polynomials are widely used in optics and ophthalmology due to their direct connection to classical optical aberrations. While orthogonal on the unit disk, their application to discrete data or non-circular domains--such as…

We consider a finite sequence of random points in a finite domain of a finite-dimensional Euclidean space. The points are sequentially allocated in the domain according to a model of cooperative sequential adsorption. The main peculiarity…

In this article, recent results about point processes are used in sampling theory. Precisely, we define and study a new class of sampling designs: determinantal sampling designs. The law of such designs is known, and there exists a simple…