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Sea Level Rise (SLR) is one of the most pressing challenges of climate change and has drawn noticeable research interest over the past few decades. Factors induced by global climate change such as temperature increase, have resulted in both…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-21 Leena Elneel , M. Sami Zitouni , Husamuldin Mukhtar , Paolo Galli , Hussain Al-Ahmad

Climate change and sea-level rise (SLR) pose escalating threats to coastal cities, intensifying the need for efficient and accurate methods to predict potential flood hazards. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic simulators, although…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Bilal Hassan , Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

Sea-level rise (SLR) is magnifying the frequency and severity of coastal flooding. The rate and amount of global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise is a function of the trajectory of global mean surface temperature (GMST). Therefore, temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-04-04 D. J. Rasmussen , Klaus Bittermann , Maya K. Buchanan , Scott Kulp , Benjamin H. Strauss , Robert E. Kopp , Michael Oppenheimer

Sea-level rise and associated flood hazards pose severe risks to the millions of people globally living in coastal zones. Models representing coastal adaptation and impacts are important tools to inform the design of strategies to manage…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Tony E. Wong , Catherine Ledna , Lisa Rennels , Hannah Sheets , Frank C. Errickson , Delavane Diaz , David Anthoff

Future projections of Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) mass loss remain characterized by deep uncertainty (i.e., behavior is not well understood or widely agreed upon by experts). This complicates decisions on long-lived projects involving the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-08-09 D. J. Rasmussen , Maya K. Buchanan , Robert E. Kopp , Michael Oppenheimer

Projections of extreme sea levels (ESLs) are critical for managing coastal risks, but are made complicated by deep uncertainties. One key uncertainty is the choice of model structure used to estimate coastal hazards. Differences in model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-15 Tony E. Wong , Travis Torline , Mingxuan Zhang

The modern era of scientific global-mean sea-level rise (SLR) projections began in the early 1980s. In subsequent decades, understanding of driving processes has improved, and new methodologies have been developed. Nonetheless, despite more…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-12 Andra J. Garner , Jeremy L. Weiss , Adam Parris , Robert E. Kopp , Radley M. Horton , Jonathan T. Overpeck , Benjamin P. Horton

Sea-levels are rising in many areas around the world, posing risks to coastal communities and infrastructures. Strategies for managing these flood risks present decision challenges that require a combination of geophysical, economic, and…

Future sea-level rise drives severe risks for many coastal communities. Strategies to manage these risks hinge on a sound characterization of the uncertainties. For example, recent studies suggest that large fractions of the Antarctic ice…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-10-13 Tony E. Wong , Klaus Keller

Sea level change, one of the most dire impacts of anthropogenic global warming, will affect a large amount of the world's population. However, sea level change is not uniform in time and space, and the skill of conventional prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Anne Braakmann-Folgmann , Ribana Roscher , Susanne Wenzel , Bernd Uebbing , Jürgen Kusche

Sea surface height observations provided by satellite altimetry since 1993 show a rising rate (3.4 mm/year) for global mean sea level. While on average, sea level has risen 10 cm over the last 30 years, there is considerable regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

Strategies to manage the risks posed by future sea-level rise hinge on a sound characterization of the inherent uncertainties. One of the major uncertainties is the possible rapid disintegration of large fractions of the Antarctic ice sheet…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-07-24 Tony E. Wong , Alexander M. R. Bakker , Klaus Keller

Sea-level rise poses considerable risks to coastal communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure. Decision makers are faced with uncertain sea-level projections when designing a strategy for coastal adaptation. The traditional methods are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-05 Gregory G. Garner , Klaus Keller

In light of growing threats posed by climate change in general and sea level rise (SLR) in particular, the necessity for computationally efficient means to estimate and analyze potential coastal flood hazards has become increasingly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

Understanding the response of estuaries to sea-level rise is crucial in developing a suitable mitigation and climate change adaptation strategy. This study investigates the impacts of rising sea levels on salinity intrusion in salt-wedge…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-15 Nino Krvavica , Igor Ružić

Studies agree on a significant global mean sea level rise in the 20th century and its recent 21st century acceleration in the satellite record. At regional scale, the evolution of sea level probability distributions is often assumed to be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-05 Fabrizio Falasca , Andrew Brettin , Laure Zanna , Stephen M. Griffies , Jianjun Yin , Ming Zhao

Future sea-level rise poses nontrivial risks for many coastal communities. Managing these risks often relies on consensus projections like those provided by the IPCC. Yet, there is a growing awareness that the surrounding uncertainties may…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-13 Alexander M. R. Bakker , Tony E. Wong , Kelsey L. Ruckert , Klaus Keller

Reliable estimates of sea level return levels are crucial for coastal flooding risk assessments and for coastal flood defence design. We describe a novel method for estimating extreme sea levels that is the first to capture seasonality,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-21 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A. Tawn , Amélie Joly , Dafni E. Sifnioti

Over the past few decades, floods have become one of the costliest natural hazards and losses have sharply escalated. Floods are an increasing problem in urban areas due to increased residential settlement along the coastline and climate…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Neftalem Negussie , Addis Yesserie , Chinchu Harris , Abou Keita , Huthaifa I. Ashqar

When assessing the hazard brought by storm surges on the coast, a frequency analysis is often conducted. An issue of particular concern is the sea level rise (SLR), thought to have an impact on maximum water levels. In this study, three…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-10 Dominik Paprotny
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