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We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar

Recently, chance-constrained stochastic electricity market designs have been proposed to address the shortcomings of scenario-based stochastic market designs. In particular, the use of chance-constrained market-clearing avoids trading off…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , Anton Hinneck , Robert Mieth , David Pozo , Yury Dvorkin

Efficiently accommodating uncertain renewable resources in wholesale electricity markets is among the foremost priorities of market regulators in the US, UK and EU nations. However, existing deterministic market designs fail to internalize…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Yury Dvorkin

The imbalance costs incurred by a stochastic power producer due to forecast production errors have a significant impact on its total profit and therefore, such an impact needs to be taken into account when evaluating investment decisions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Salvador Pineda , Juan Miguel Morales

The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Weiran Shen , Sébastien Lahaie , Renato Paes Leme

In a recent publication, using a simple two-period model, which is already capable to capture essential non-convex multiperiod bids, Richstein et al. have shown that in the case of optimal bidding, multi-part bidding always ensures a higher…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-09 Dávid Csercsik , Mihály András Vághy

Modern market management systems continue to evolve due to the intentions to improve system security and reliability. This evolvement has been leading to a transition of market auction models from a deterministic structure with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-22 Mohammad Ghaljehei , Mojdeh Khorsand

In this paper we study the so-called minimum income condition order, which is used in some day-ahead electricity power exchanges to represent the production-related costs of generating units. This order belongs to the family of complex…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-02 Dávid Csercsik

The implementation of electricity markets based on locational marginal pricing in a multi-settlement process has allowed wholesale competition, with pricing mechanisms that incentivize the optimal allocation of generation, transmission, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-29 Veronica R. Bosquezfoti , Andrew L. Liu

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

The accurate prediction of short-term electricity prices is vital for effective trading strategies, power plant scheduling, profit maximisation and efficient system operation. However, uncertainties in supply and demand make such…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-20 Mira Watermeyer , Thomas Möbius , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

Bidders in day-ahead electricity markets want to sell/buy electricity when their bids generate positive surplus and not to take an action when the reverse holds. However, non-convexities in these markets cause conflicts between the actions…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-04 Gökhan Ceyhan , Nermin Elif Kurt , H. Bahadir Sahin , Kürşad Derinkuyu

This paper provides insight on the economic inefficiency of the classical merit-order dispatch in electricity markets with uncertain supply. For this, we consider a power system whose operation is driven by a two-stage electricity market,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

According to the fundamental theorems of welfare economics, any competitive equilibrium is Pareto efficient. Unfortunately, competitive equilibrium prices only exist under strong assumptions such as perfectly divisible goods and convex…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Johannes Knörr

In this work we propose a heuristic clearing method of day-ahead electricity markets. In the first part of the process, a computationally less demanding problem is solved using an approximation of the cumulative demand and supply curves,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Botond Feczkó , Dániel Divényi , Ádám Sleisz , Dávid Csercsik

The European power grid can be divided into several market areas where the price of electricity is determined in a day-ahead auction. Market participants can provide continuous hourly bid curves and combinatorial bids with associated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Alexander Martin , Johannes C. Müller , Sebastian Pokutta

The electricity industry has been one of the first to face technological changes motivated by sustainability concerns. Whilst efficiency aspects of market design have tended to focus upon market power concerns, the new policy challenges…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-06 Lamia Varawala , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , György Dán , Derek Bunn , Juan Rosellón

Convergence (virtual) bidding is an important part of two-settlement electric power markets as it can effectively reduce discrepancies between the day-ahead and real-time markets. Consequently, there is extensive research into the bidding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Letif Mones , Sean Lovett

Accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasting is essential for residential welfare, yet current methods often fall short in forecast accuracy. We observe that commonly used time series models struggle to utilize the prior correlation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Linian Wang , Jianghong Liu , Huibin Zhang , Leye Wang
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