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Measuring a strength of dependence of random variables is an important problem in statistical practice. In this paper, we propose a new function valued measure of dependence of two random variables. It allows one to study and visualize…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-12 Teresa Ledwina

Studying the multivariate extension of copula correlation yields a dimension reduction principle, which turns out to be strongly related with the `simple measure of conditional dependence' $T$ recently introduced by Azadkia & Chatterjee…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Sebastian Fuchs

We study Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in a setting where a part of the corrupting noise is data-dependent and, as a result, the noise and the true data are correlated. Under a bounded-ness assumption on the true data and the noise,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-01 Namrata Vaswani , Praneeth Narayanamurthy

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

We introduce Support Decomposition Variational Inference (SDVI), a new variational inference (VI) approach for probabilistic programs with stochastic support. Existing approaches to this problem rely on designing a single global variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Tim Reichelt , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

Inference of the conditional dependence structure is challenging when many covariates are present. In numerous applications, only a low-dimensional projection of the covariates influences the conditional distribution. The smallest subspace…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Thomas Nagler , Gerda Claeskens , Irène Gijbels

Canonical Variate Analysis (CVA) is a multivariate statistical technique and a direct application of Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) that aims to find linear combinations of variables that best differentiate between groups in a dataset.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-23 Raeesa Ganey , Sugnet Lubbe

Copula-based Conditional Value at Risk (CCVaR) is defined as an alternative version of the classical Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) for multivariate random vectors intended to be real-valued. We aim to generalize CCVaR to several…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Andres Mauricio Molina Barreto

Extreme-value copulas arise as the limiting dependence structure of component-wise maxima. Defined in terms of a functional parameter, they are one of the most widespread copula families due to their flexibility and ability to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Javier Fernández Serrano

We propose a simple and accurate approach to estimate the random close packing (RCP) fraction of binary hard-disk mixtures. By introducing a parameter based on the mixture's reduced third virial coefficient -- which effectively captures…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-04-06 Andrés Santos , Mariano López de Haro

Inspired by Jang et al. (2022), we propose a Granger causality-in-the-mean test for bivariate $k-$Markov stationary processes based on a recently introduced class of non-linear models, i.e., vine copula models. By means of a simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Roberto Fuentes-Martínez , Irene Crimaldi , Armando Rungi

Many post-processing methods improve forecasts at individual locations but remove their correlation structure, which is crucial for predicting larger-scale events like total precipitation amount over areas such as river catchments that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-13 Peter Schaumann , Martin Rempel , Ulrich Blahak , Volker Schmidt

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Prior elicitation methods for Bayesian analyses transfigure prior information into quantifiable prior distributions. Recently, methods that leverage copulas have been proposed to accommodate more flexible dependence structures when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Variational inference (VI) is widely used as an efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. It posits a family of approximating distributions $q$ and finds the closest member to the exact posterior $p$. Closeness is usually measured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Adji B. Dieng , Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , John Paisley , David M. Blei

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Most pseudo-label selection strategies in semi-supervised learning rely on fixed confidence thresholds, implicitly assuming that prediction confidence reliably indicates correctness. In practice, deep networks are often overconfident:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Jinshi Liu , Pan Liu , Lei He

We introduce a class of copulas that we call Principal Component Copulas (PCCs). This class combines the strong points of copula-based techniques with principal component analysis (PCA), which results in flexibility when modelling tail…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 K. B. Gubbels , J. Y. Ypma , C. W. Oosterlee

We propose a new method to test conditional independence of two real random variables $Y$ and $Z$ conditionally on an arbitrary third random variable $X$. %with $F_{.|.}$ representing conditional distribution functions, The partial copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-25 Wicher Bergsma