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In this paper we test for Granger causality in high-dimensional vector autoregressive models (VARs) to disentangle and interpret the complex causal chains linking radiative forcings and global temperatures. By allowing for high…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-04 Marina Friedrich , Luca Margaritella , Stephan Smeekes

We study the problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional generalized linear models, and propose an approach based on sample-weighted empirical risk minimization. Our method, Weighted ERM, encodes priors on the change points via…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Gabriel Arpino , Ramji Venkataramanan

Most of the available multivariate statistical models dictate on fitting different parameters for the covariate effects on each multiple responses. This might be unnecessary and inefficient for some cases. In this article, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-04 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

Complex systems with intricate causal dependencies challenge accurate prediction. Effective modeling requires precise physical process representation, integration of interdependent factors, and incorporation of multi-resolution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Susu Xu

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

Mixed Models for Repeated Measures (MMRMs) are ubiquitous when analyzing outcomes of clinical trials. However, the linearity of the fixed-effect structure in these models largely restrict their use to estimating treatment effects that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Lars Lau Raket

GWR is a popular approach for investigating the spatial variation in relationships between response and predictor variables, and critically for investigating and understanding process spatial heterogeneity. The geographically weighted (GW)…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-30 Alexis Comber , Chris Brunsdon , Martin Callaghan , Paul Harris , Binbin Lu , Nick Malleson

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

We propose a flexible regression framework to model the conditional distribution of multilevel generalized multivariate functional data of potentially mixed type, e.g. binary and continuous data. We make pointwise parametric distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Alexander Volkmann , Nikolaus Umlauf , Sonja Greven

The R package walker extends standard Bayesian general linear models to the case where the effects of the explanatory variables can vary in time. This allows, for example, to model the effects of interventions such as changes in tax policy…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske

In this study, we focus on the development and implementation of a comprehensive ensemble of numerical time series forecasting models, collectively referred to as the Group of Numerical Time Series Prediction Model (G-NM). This inclusive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Juyoung Yun

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

This paper presents the R package gRapHD for efficient selection of high-dimensional undirected graphical models. The package provides tools for selecting trees, forests and decomposable models minimizing information criteria such as AIC or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-24 Gabriel C. G. de Abreu , Rodrigo Labouriau , David Edwards

The Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model (GP-LVM) is a non-linear probabilistic method of embedding a high dimensional dataset in terms low dimensional `latent' variables. In this paper we illustrate that maximum a posteriori (MAP)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 James Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

Repeated-measure designs allow comparisons within a group as well as between groups, and are commonly referred to as split-plot designs. While originating in agricultural experiments, they are now widely used in medical research,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-22 Paavo Sattler , Nils Hichert

This paper studies the high-dimensional mixed linear regression (MLR) where the output variable comes from one of the two linear regression models with an unknown mixing proportion and an unknown covariance structure of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Linjun Zhang , Rong Ma , T. Tony Cai , Hongzhe Li

Standard Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) implicitly assume that the conditional independence among variables is common to all observations in the sample. However, in practice, observations are usually collected form heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-26 Abel Rodriguez , Alex Lenkoski , Adrian Dobra

We present vir, an R package for variational inference with shrinkage priors. Our package implements variational and stochastic variational algorithms for linear and probit regression models, the use of which is a common first step in many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-18 Suchit Mehrotra , Arnab Maity

This paper deals with the time-varying high dimensional covariance matrix estimation. We propose two covariance matrix estimators corresponding with a time-varying approximate factor model and a time-varying approximate characteristic-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-29 Jaeheon Jung

We introduce M-VADER: a diffusion model (DM) for image generation where the output can be specified using arbitrary combinations of images and text. We show how M-VADER enables the generation of images specified using combinations of image…