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Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

A growth curve model (GCM) aims to characterize how an outcome variable evolves, develops and grows as a function of time, along with other predictors. It provides a particularly useful framework to model growth trend in longitudinal data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Xin Zhou , Yin Xia , Lexin Li

Multivariate time series data typically comprises two distinct modalities: variable semantics and sampled numerical observations. Traditional time series models treat variables as anonymous statistical signals, overlooking the rich semantic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Yifei Sun , Junming Liu , Yirong Chen , Xuefeng Yan , Ding Wang

It is known that the estimating equations for quantile regression (QR) can be solved using an EM algorithm in which the M-step is computed via weighted least squares, with weights computed at the E-step as the expectation of independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

In biomedical studies, we are often interested in the association between different types of covariates and the times to disease events. Because the relationship between the covariates and event times is often complex, standard survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Hoi Min Ng , Kin Yau Wong

We introduce the Multiple Quantile Graphical Model (MQGM), which extends the neighborhood selection approach of Meinshausen and Buhlmann for learning sparse graphical models. The latter is defined by the basic subproblem of modeling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Alnur Ali , J. Zico Kolter , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Modern datasets are becoming heterogeneous. To this end, we present in this paper Mixed-Variate Restricted Boltzmann Machines for simultaneously modelling variables of multiple types and modalities, including binary and continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-07 Truyen Tran , Dinh Phung , Svetha Venkatesh

Generative models (GMs) such as Generative Adversary Network (GAN) and Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) have thrived these years and achieved high quality results in generating new samples. Especially in Computer Vision, GMs have been used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Honggang Zhou , Yunchun Li , Hailong Yang , Wei Li , Jie Jia

Graphical interaction models have become an important tool for analysing multivariate time series. In these models, the interrelationships among the components of a time series are described by undirected graphs in which the vertices depict…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Michael Eichler

Sequence analysis is being more and more widely used for the analysis of social sequences and other multivariate categorical time series data. However, it is often complex to describe, visualize, and compare large sequence data, especially…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-22 Satu Helske , Jouni Helske

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

There exists recent work in computer vision, named VAR, that proposes a new autoregressive paradigm for image generation. Diverging from the vanilla next-token prediction, VAR structurally reformulates the image generation into a coarse to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Sucheng Ren , Yaodong Yu , Nataniel Ruiz , Feng Wang , Alan Yuille , Cihang Xie

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes

Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important class of models for the analysis of longitudinal data (Bartolucci et. al., 2013), especially when response variables are categorical. These models have a great potential of application for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-20 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

The univariate integer-valued time series has been extensively studied, but literature on multivariate integer-valued time series models is quite limited and the complex correlation structure among the multivariate integer-valued time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Weiyang Yu , Haitao Zheng

Analysis of multivariate healthcare time series data is inherently challenging: irregular sampling, noisy and missing values, and heterogeneous patient groups with different dynamics violating exchangeability. In addition, interpretability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Onur Poyraz , Pekka Marttinen

Local spatial models such as Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) serve as instrumental tools to capture intrinsic contextual effects through the estimates of the local intercepts…

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Zehao Liu , Mengzhou Gao , Pengfei Jiao