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We consider an SIS-type epidemic process that evolves on a known graph. We assume that a fixed curing budget can be allocated at each instant to the nodes of the graph, towards the objective of minimizing the expected extinction time of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-10-22 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John N. Tsitsiklis

We provide a dynamic policy for the rapid containment of a contagion process modeled as an SIS epidemic on a bounded degree undirected graph with n nodes. We show that if the budget $r$ of curing resources available at each time is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-10 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John N. Tsitsiklis

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

The design of an efficient curing policy, able to stem an epidemic process at an affordable cost, has to account for the structure of the population contact network supporting the contagious process. Thus, we tackle the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Stefania Ottaviano , Francesco De Pellegrini , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Piet Van Mieghem

Motivated by the study of controlling (curing) epidemics, we consider the spread of an SI process on a known graph, where we have a limited budget to use to transition infected nodes back to the susceptible state (i.e., to cure nodes).…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

We consider the contact process on finite and connected graphs and study the behavior of the extinction time, that is, the amount of time that it takes for the infection to disappear in the process started from full occupancy. We prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We consider epidemic extinction in finite networks with broad variation in local connectivity. Generalizing the theory of large fluctuations to random networks with a given degree distribution, we are able to predict the most probable, or…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-07-07 Jason Hindes , Ira B. Schwartz

We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

In the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model of disease spreading, the time to extinction of the epidemics happens at an intermediate value of the per-contact transmission probability. Too contagious infections burn out fast in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Petter Holme

We model an epidemic where the per-person infectiousness in a network of geographic localities changes with the total number of active cases. This would happen as people adopt more stringent non-pharmaceutical precautions when the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Akhil Bhimaraju , Avhishek Chatterjee , Lav R. Varshney

The spread of an infection, a contagion, meme, emotion, message and various other spreadable objects have been discussed in several works. Burning and firefighting have been discussed in particular on static graphs. Graph burning simulates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-17 Arya Tanmay Gupta

We study spreading processes in temporal graphs, i. e., graphs whose connections change over time. These processes naturally model real-world phenomena such as infectious diseases or information flows. More precisely, we investigate how…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Hendrik Molter , Malte Renken , Philipp Zschoche

We consider the extinction time of the contact process on increasing sequences of finite graphs obtained from a variety of random graph models. Under the assumption that the infection rate is above the critical value for the process on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We study the extinction of long-lived epidemics on finite complex networks induced by intrinsic noise. Applying analytical techniques to the stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, we predict the distribution of large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-05-31 Jason Hindes , Ira B. Schwartz

Spreading processes on graphs are a natural model for a wide variety of real-world phenomena, including information spread over social networks and biological diseases spreading over contact networks. Often, the networks over which these…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Jessica Enright , Kitty Meeks , George B. Mertzios , Viktor Zamaraev

During an epidemic, individual nodes in a network may adapt their connections to reduce the chance of infection. A common form of adaption is avoidance rewiring, where a noninfected node breaks a connection to an infected neighbor and forms…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-01-24 Jason Hindes , Ira B. Schwartz , Leah B. Shaw

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

This paper studies efficient algorithms for dynamic curing policies and the corresponding network design problems to guarantee the fast extinction of epidemic spread in a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. We consider a Markov…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Yuhao Yi , Liren Shan , Shijie Wang , Philip E. Paré , Karl H. Johansson

We study the extinction time $\uptau$ of the contact process on finite trees of bounded degree. We show that, if the infection rate is larger than the critical rate for the contact process on $\Z$, then, uniformly over all trees of degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Thomas Mountford , Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Daniel Valesin , Qiang Yao

In this paper we consider a simple virus infection spread model on a finite population of $n$ agents connected by some neighborhood structure. Given a graph $G$ on $n$ vertices, we begin with some fixed number of initial infected vertices.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Farkhondeh Sajadi
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