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We consider importance sampling for estimating the probability that a light-tailed $d$-dimensional random walk exits through one of many disjoint rare-event regions before reaching an anticipated target. This problem arises in sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

Fine resolution estimates of demographic and socioeconomic attributes are crucial for planning and policy development. While several efforts have been made to produce fine-scale gridded population estimates, socioeconomic features are…

Variable selection in high-dimensional spaces is a pervasive challenge in contemporary scientific exploration and decision-making. However, existing approaches that are known to enjoy strong statistical guarantees often struggle to cope…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Tianrui Hou , Liwei Wang , Yves Atchadé

Understanding the interplay between recombination and resampling is a significant challenge in mathematical population genetics and of great practical relevance. Asymptotic results about the distribution of samples when recombination is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Frederic Alberti

While non-invasive sampling is more and more commonly used in capture-recapture (CR) experiments, it carries a higher risk of misidentifications than direct observations. As a consequence, one must screen the data to retain only the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-04 Rémi Fraysse , Rémi Choquet , Carlo Costantini , Roger Pradel

With the growing availability of large-scale biomedical data, it is often time-consuming or infeasible to directly perform traditional statistical analysis with relatively limited computing resources at hand. We propose a fast subsampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Haixiang Zhang , Lulu Zuo , HaiYing Wang , Liuquan Sun

Diversity is essential for language-model applications ranging from creative generation to scientific discovery, yet modern LLMs often collapse into a narrow subset of plausible outputs. While prior work has developed benchmarks for…

Understanding the time evolution of fragmented animal populations and their habitats, connected by migration, is a problem of both theoretical and practical interest. This paper presents a method for calculating the time evolution of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-04 Anders Eriksson

1. Citizen and community-science (CS) datasets have great potential for estimating interannual patterns of population change given the large volumes of data collected globally every year. Yet, the flexible protocols that enable many CS…

In biomedical research, to obtain more accurate prediction results from a target study, leveraging information from multiple similar source studies is proved to be useful. However, in many biomedical applications based on real-world data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Xiaokang Liu , Jie Hu , Naimin Jing , Yang Ning , Cheng Yong Tang , Runze Li , Yong Chen

Latent class models are widely used for identifying unobserved subgroups from multivariate categorical data in social sciences, with binary data as a particularly popular example. However, accurately recovering individual latent class…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Yuqi Gu

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio

We introduce an \verb|R| package, called \verb|MPS|, for computing the probability density function, computing the cumulative distribution function, computing the quantile function, simulating random variables, and estimating the parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-11 Mahdi Teimouri

Population size estimation based on capture-recapture experiment under triple record system is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, population studies, etc. In many real life scenarios, there exists inherent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan

Collecting genomics data across multiple heterogeneous populations (e.g., across different cancer types) has the potential to improve our understanding of disease. Despite sequencing advances, though, resources often remain a constraint…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Yunyi Shen , Lorenzo Masoero , Joshua G. Schraiber , Tamara Broderick

We propose discrete Langevin proposal (DLP), a simple and scalable gradient-based proposal for sampling complex high-dimensional discrete distributions. In contrast to Gibbs sampling-based methods, DLP is able to update all coordinates in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Ruqi Zhang , Xingchao Liu , Qiang Liu

The softmax function is a cornerstone of multi-class classification, integral to a wide range of machine learning applications, from large-scale retrieval and ranking models to advanced large language models. However, its computational cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Jin Chen , Jin Zhang , Xu huang , Yi Yang , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

We introduce a low dimensional function of the site frequency spectrum that is tailor-made for distinguishing coalescent models with multiple mergers from Kingman coalescent models with population growth, and use this function to construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela

Among many efforts to facilitate timely access to safe and effective medicines to children, increased attention has been given to extrapolation. Loosely, it is the leveraging of conclusions or available data from adults or older age groups…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-06 Margaret Gamalo , Yoonji Kim , Fan Zhang , Junjing Lin

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPM) are a class of generative models which have recently been shown to produce excellent samples. We show that with a few simple modifications, DDPMs can also achieve competitive log-likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Alex Nichol , Prafulla Dhariwal
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