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We present a general framework for portfolio risk management in discrete time, based on a replicating martingale. This martingale is learned from a finite sample in a supervised setting. The model learns the features necessary for an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-09 Lucio Fernandez-Arjona , Damir Filipović

The main goal of this paper is to investigate under which conditions cash-subadditive convex dynamic risk measures are time-consistent. Proceeding as in Detlefsen and Scandolo \cite{detlef-scandolo} and inspired by their result, we give a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin

This paper deals with multidimensional dynamic risk measures induced by conditional $g$-expectations. A notion of multidimensional $g$-expectation is proposed to provide a multidimensional version of nonlinear expectations. By a technical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-09 Yuhong Xu

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Bruno Remillard , Sylvain Rubenthaler

Higher order risk measures are stochastic optimization problems by design, and for this reason they enjoy valuable properties in optimization under uncertainties. They nicely integrate with stochastic optimization problems, as has been…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Alois Pichler

We use the martingale method to discuss the relationship between mean-variance (MV) and monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selections. We propose a unified framework to discuss the relationship in general financial markets without any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Yuchen Li , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

We develop an approach to time-consistent risk evaluation of continuous-time processes in Markov systems. Our analysis is based on dual representation of coherent risk measures, differentiability concepts for multivalued mappings, and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Darinka Dentcheva , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-12 Ignacio Cascos , Ilya Molchanov

Let X and Y be an m-dimensional F-semimartingale and an n-dimensional H-semimartingale respectively on the same probability space, both enjoying the strong predictable representation property. We propose a martingale representation result…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Antonella Calzolari , Barbara Torti

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

We consider a market model where there are two levels of information. The public information generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about a random time. This random time can…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Tahir Choulli , Catherine Daveloose , Michèle Vanmaele

We consider the problem of representing claims for coherent risk measures. For this purpose we introduce the concept of (weak and strong) time-consistency with respect to a portfolio of assets, generalizing the one defined by Delbaen. In a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-06 Saul Jacka , Abdelkarem Berkaoui

Certain countably and finitely additive measures can be associated to a given nonnegative supermartingale. Under weak assumptions on the underlying probability space, existence and (non)uniqueness results for such measures are proven.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Nicolas Perkowski , Johannes Ruf

The density hypothesis on random times becomes now a standard in modeling of risks. One of the basic reasons to introduce the density hypothesis is the desire to have a computable credit risk model. However, recent work shows that merely an…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Shiqi Song

Quadratic hedging of option payoffs generates the variance optimal martingale measure. When an option features an exercise policy and its cash flows are hedged according to this approach, it may be tempting to optimize such a policy under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-26 Nicola Secomandi

We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Tahsin Deniz Aktürk , Çağın Ararat

Shortfall systemic (multivariate) risk measures $\rho$ defined through an $N$-dimensional multivariate utility function $U$ and random allocations can be represented as classical (one dimensional) shortfall risk measures associated to an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Alessandro Doldi , Marco Frittelli , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin

A multifractal-like representation for multi-time multi-scale velocity correlation in turbulence and dynamical turbulent models is proposed. The importance of subleading contributions to time correlations is highlighted. The fulfillment of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 L. Biferale , G. Boffetta , A. Celani , F. Toschi

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Dörte Kreher

We study a static portfolio optimization problem with two risk measures: a principle risk measure in the objective function and a secondary risk measure whose value is controlled in the constraints. This problem is of interest when it is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Çağın Ararat