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We consider the problem of forming prediction sets in an online setting where the distribution generating the data is allowed to vary over time. Previous approaches to this problem suffer from over-weighting historical data and thus may…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

We use the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy to process information in the form of observed data and moment constraints. The generic "canonical" form of the posterior distribution for the problem of simultaneous updating with data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin , Ariel Caticha

A search engine maintains local copies of different web pages to provide quick search results. This local cache is kept up-to-date by a web crawler that frequently visits these different pages to track changes in them. Ideally, the local…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Kishor Patil , Gugan Thoppe

Online decision making aims to learn the optimal decision rule by making personalized decisions and updating the decision rule recursively. It has become easier than before with the help of big data, but new challenges also come along.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Haoyu Chen , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Experimental testing is vital in the optimization of web applications, and as such A/B testing has been widely adopted as a methodology for determining optimal content for many web applications. While some testing platforms provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-04 Ian E. Fellows

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Chris Browne

The ability to quickly and accurately detect anomalous structure within data sequences is an inference challenge of growing importance. This work extends recently proposed post-hoc (offline) anomaly detection methodology to the sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-16 Alexander T. M. Fisch , Lawrence Bardwell , Idris A. Eckley

This work derives and analyzes an online learning strategy for tracking the average of time-varying distributed signals by relying on randomized coordinate-descent updates. During each iteration, each agent selects or observes a random…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Bicheng Ying , Kun Yuan , Ali H. Sayed

We introduce features for massive data streams. These stream features can be thought of as "ordered moments" and generalize stream sketches from "moments of order one" to "ordered moments of arbitrary order". In analogy to classic moments,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-01 Terry Lyons , Harald Oberhauser

In the research field of big data, one of important issues is how to recover the sequentially changing sets of true features when the data sets arrive sequentially. The paper presents a general framework for online updating variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-22 Xiaoyu Ma , Lu Lin , Yujie Gai

Efficient consistency maintenance of incomplete and dynamic real-life databases is a quality label for further data analysis. In prior work, we tackled the generic problem of database updating in the presence of tuple generating constraints…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Jacques Chabin , Mirian Halfeld Ferrari , Nicolas Hiot , Dominique Laurent

U-statistics play central roles in many statistical learning tools but face the haunting issue of scalability. Significant efforts have been devoted into accelerating computation by U-statistic reduction. However, existing results almost…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-07 Meijia Shao , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang

Adaptive gradient-based optimization methods such as \textsc{Adagrad}, \textsc{Rmsprop}, and \textsc{Adam} are widely used in solving large-scale machine learning problems including deep learning. A number of schemes have been proposed in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Parvin Nazari , Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

The use of mediation analysis has become increasingly popular in various research fields in recent years. The primary objective of mediation analysis is to examine the indirect effects along the pathways from exposure to outcome. Meanwhile,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-06 Xueyan Bai , Haixiang Zhang

Many systems rely on reliable timestamps to determine the time of a particular action or event. This is especially true in digital investigations where investigators are attempting to determine when a suspect actually committed an action.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-03-23 Joshua I. James , Yunsik Jang

We present a system based on sequential decision making for the online summarization of massive document streams, such as those found on the web. Given an event of interest (e.g. "Boston marathon bombing"), our system is able to filter the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-05-13 Chris Kedzie , Fernando Diaz , Kathleen McKeown

In this paper we derive an updating scheme for calculating some important network statistics such as degree, clustering coefficient, etc., aiming at reduce the amount of computation needed to track the evolving behavior of large networks;…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-04-02 Jie Sun , James P. Bagrow , Erik M. Bollt , Joesph D. Skufca

Temporal context plays a significant role in temporal action segmentation. In an offline setting, the context is typically captured by the segmentation network after observing the entire sequence. However, capturing and using such context…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Qing Zhong , Guodong Ding , Angela Yao

The identification of anomalies is a critical component of operating complex, and possibly large-scale and geo-graphically distributed cyber-physical systems. While designing anomaly detectors, it is common to assume Gaussian noise models…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-15 Venkatraman Renganathan , Navid Hashemi , Justin Ruths , Tyler H. Summers

We develop moment estimators for the parameters of affine stochastic volatility models. We first address the challenge of calculating moments for the models by introducing a recursive equation for deriving closed-form expressions for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Yan-Feng Wu , Xiangyu Yang , Jian-Qiang Hu