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We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to determine the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

We study random compressible viscous magnetohydrodynamic flows. Combining the Monte Carlo method with a deterministic finite volume method we solve the random system numerically. Quantitative error estimates including statistical and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Eduard Feireisl , Maria Lukacova-Medvidova , Bangwei She , Yuhuan Yuan

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Joseph Mathews , Giri Gopalan , James Gattiker , Sean Smith , Devin Francom

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

In the present paper we consider the initial data, external force, viscosity coefficients, and heat conductivity coefficient as random data for the compressible Navier--Stokes--Fourier system. The Monte Carlo method, which is frequently…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Maria Lukacova -- Medvidova , Bangwei She , Yuhuan Yuan

The hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm (HMCA) is applied for Bayesian parameter estimation of the realized stochastic volatility (RSV) model. Using the 2nd order minimum norm integrator (2MNI) for the molecular dynamics (MD) simulation in the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-15 Tetsuya Takaishi

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

A recent article introduced thecontinuous stochastic gradient method (CSG) for the efficient solution of a class of stochastic optimization problems. While the applicability of known stochastic gradient type methods is typically limited to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Lukas Pflug , Max Grieshammer , Andrian Uihlein , Michael Stingl

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

Monte Carlo simulations are widely used to simulate complex molecular systems, but standard approaches suffer from metastability. Lately, the use of non-local proposal updates in a collective-variable (CV) space has been proposed in several…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-20 Christoph Schönle , Davide Carbone , Marylou Gabrié , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra

This paper addresses the complexity reduction of stochastic homogenisation of a class of random materials for a stationary diffusion equation. A cost-efficient approximation of the correctors is built using a method designed to exploit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Anthony Nouy , Christophe Binetruy

In this paper, we introduce a new method called SPSC (Simulation, Partitioning, Selection, Cloning) to estimate efficiently the probability of possible solutions in stochastic simulations. This method can be applied to any type of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Yu-Lin Huang , Gildas Morvan , Frédéric Pichon , David Mercier

Stochastic algorithms are well-known for their performance in the era of big data. In convex optimization, stochastic algorithms have been studied in depth and breadth. However, the current body of research on stochastic algorithms for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Hoai An Le Thi , Hoang Phuc Hau Luu , Tao Pham Dinh

We present a new simple method of estimating stochastic volatility and its volatility. This method is applicable to both cross-sectional and time-series data. Moreover, this method does not require volatility data series.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-04 Moawia Alghalith

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

In this paper, we propose and analyze a new stochastic homogenization method for diffusion equations with random and fast oscillatory coefficients. In the proposed method, the homogenized solutions are sought through a two-stage procedure.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Zihao Yang , Jizu Huang , Xiaobing Feng , Xiaofei Guan

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

We review progress towards direct simulation of quantum dynamics in many-body systems, using recently developed stochastic gauge techniques. We consider master equations, canonical ensemble calculations and reversible quantum dynamics are…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-08-23 P. D. Drummond , P. Deuar , J. F. Corney , K. V. Kheruntsyan
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