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We investigate a local incremental stationary scheme for the numerical solution of rate-independent systems. Such systems are characterized by a (possibly) non-convex energy and a dissipation potential, which is positively homogeneous of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Merlin Andreia , Christian Meyer

We present several Monte Carlo strategies for simulating discrete-time Markov chains with continuous multi-dimensional state space; we focus on stratified techniques. We first analyze the variance of the calculation of the measure of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Rana Fakhereddine , Rami El Haddad , Christian Lécot

There exists a range of different models for estimating and simulating credit risk transitions to optimally manage credit risk portfolios and products. In this chapter we present a Coupled Markov Chain approach to model rating transitions…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Ronald Hochreiter , David Wozabal

We consider a simple discrete-time Markov chain with values in $[0,\infty)^{Z^d}$. The Markov chain describes various interesting examples such as oriented percolation, directed polymers in random environment, time discretizations of binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-26 Nobuo Yoshida

We conduct a comprehensive investigation into the dynamics of gradient descent using large-order constant step-sizes in the context of quadratic regression models. Within this framework, we reveal that the dynamics can be encapsulated by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Xuxing Chen , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Promit Ghosal , Bhavya Agrawalla

Although adaptive optimization algorithms have been successful in many applications, there are still some mysteries in terms of convergence analysis that have not been unraveled. This paper provides a novel non-convex analysis of adaptive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Zhishuai Guo , Yi Xu , Wotao Yin , Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang

We study the approximation of a Markov chain on a reduced state space, for both discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. In this context, we extend the existing theory of formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

In this paper it is shown that adaptive importance sampling algorithms converge at exponential rate for Markov chain expectation problems that admit a combination of a filtered estimator and a Markov zero-variance measure. It extends a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Ludolf E. Meester

Many systems across the sciences evolve through a combination of multiplicative growth and diffusive transport. In the presence of disorder, these systems tend to form localized structures which alternate between long periods of relative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-19 Matteo Smerlak

Markov chain sampling methods that automatically adapt to characteristics of the distribution being sampled can be constructed by exploiting the principle that one can sample from a distribution by sampling uniformly from the region under…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

We develop a stochastic approximation-type algorithm to solve finite state/action, infinite-horizon, risk-aware Markov decision processes. Our algorithm has two loops. The inner loop computes the risk by solving a stochastic saddle-point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Wenjie Huang , William B. Haskell

We address the problem of identifying the dynamical law governing the evolution of a population of indistinguishable particles, when only aggregate distributions at successive times are observed. Assuming a Markovian evolution on a discrete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Michele Mascherpa , Axel Ringh , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Johan Karlsson

We investigate lower bounds on the subgeometric convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo under any adaptation strategy. In particular, we prove general lower bounds in total variation and on the weak convergence rate under general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

While evolutionary algorithms are known to be very successful for a broad range of applications, the algorithm designer is often left with many algorithmic choices, for example, the size of the population, the mutation rates, and the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-04-14 Benjamin Doerr , Carola Doerr

In this work, we consider the problem of mode clustering in Markov jump models. This model class consists of multiple dynamical modes with a switching sequence that determines how the system switches between them over time. Under different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Zhe Du , Necmiye Ozay , Laura Balzano

We give a Markov chain based perfect sampler for uniform sampling solutions of constraint satisfaction problems (CSP). Under some mild Lov\'asz local lemma conditions where each constraint of the CSP has a small number of forbidden local…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kun He , Xiaoming Sun , Kewen Wu

As sample sizes grow, scalability has become a central concern in the development of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. One general approach to this problem, exemplified by the popular stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD)…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-04 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith , Azeem Zaman

In this paper we consider the problem of finding an evolution of a dynamical system that originates and terminates in given sets of states. However, if such an evolution exists then it is usually not unique. We investigate this problem and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Jan Kuratko , Stefan Ratschan