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The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

Optimal algorithms are developed for robust detection of changes in non-stationary processes. These are processes in which the distribution of the data after change varies with time. The decision-maker does not have access to precise…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Yingze Hou , Yousef Oleyaeimotlagh , Rahul Mishra , Hoda Bidkhori , Taposh Banerjee

This study provides a summary of the theory which enables the analysis of extreme values, i.e., of measurements acquired from the observation of extraordinary/rare physical phenomena. The formalism is developed in a transparent way,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-02 Evangelos Matsinos

The selection of an equilibrium state by maximising the entropy of a system, subject to certain constraints, is often powerfully motivated as an exercise in logical inference, a procedure where conclusions are reached on the basis of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-03 Ian J. Ford

We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-08 Vishwas Rao , Romit Maulik , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Extreme values are considered in samples with random size that has a mixed Poisson distribution being generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. We prove some inequalities providing bounds on the rate of convergence in limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Victor Korolev , Igor Sokolov , Andrey Gorshenin

When passing from the univariate to the multivariate setting, modelling extremes becomes much more intricate. In this introductory exposition, classical multivariate extreme value theory is presented from the point of view of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Philippe Naveau , Johan Segers

This paper studies the problem of steering the distribution of a discrete-time dynamical system from an initial distribution to a target distribution in finite time. The formulation is fully nonlinear, allowing the use of general control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-05 George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We define variational properties for dynamical systems with subexponential complexity, and study these properties in certain specific examples. By computing the value of slow entropy directly, we show that some subshifts are not…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Minhua Cheng , Carlos Ospina , Kurt Vinhage , Yibo Zhai

In multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT), the focus is on analysis outside of the observable sampling zone, which implies that the region of interest is associated to high risk levels. This work provides tools to include directional…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-05 Raúl Torres , Elena Di Bernardino , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

A recently introduced general-purpose heuristic for finding high-quality solutions for many hard optimization problems is reviewed. The method is inspired by recent progress in understanding far-from-equilibrium phenomena in terms of {\em…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Stefan Boettcher , Allon G. Percus

Non-Hermitian systems can manifest rich static and dynamical properties at their exceptional points (EPs). Here, we identify yet another class of distinct phenomena that is hinged on EPs, namely, the emergence of a series of non-Hermitian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-03 Zuo Wang , Liang He

Extreme value theory is concerned with probabilistic and statistical questions related to very high or very low values in sequences of random variables and in stochastic processes. The subject has a rich mathematical theory and also a long…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-31 Ali Saeb

Random processes with stationary increments and intrinsic random processes are two concepts commonly used to deal with non-stationary random processes. They are broader classes than stationary random processes and conceptually closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Jongwook Kim

This paper considers a family of autoregressive processes with marginal distributions resembling the Cantor function. It is shown that the marginal distribution is in the domain of attraction of a max-semistable distribution. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-02 Alef E. Sterk

We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

We present an exact solution for one-dimensional overdamped dynamics near a hard wall, allowing us to connect steady-state distributions under confinement with the extreme value statistics of unconfined stochastic processes. This mapping…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-05 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

The paper is dealing with semi-classical asymptotics of a characteristic function for a stochastic process. The main technical tool is provided by the stationary phase method. The extremal range for a stochastic process is defined by limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-31 S. Nikitin
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