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We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

The spatially dependent wave speed of a stochastic wave equation driven by space-time white noise is estimated using the local observation scheme. Given a fixed time horizon, we prove asymptotic normality for an augmented maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Eric Ziebell

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan

This work is an extension in Arch models of the theorem of S.Y. Hwang and I.V. Basawa Hwang and Basawa (2001) which was used before in nonlinear time series contiguous to AR(1) processes. Our results are established under some general…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-08 Tewfik Lounis

Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to calculate in practice. A more general class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Uwe Küchler , Michael Sørensen

We consider a diffusion $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ whose drift contains some deterministic periodic signal. Its shape being fixed and known, up to scaling in time, the periodicity of the signal is the unknown parameter $\vartheta$ of interest. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Reinhard Hoepfner , Yury Kutoyants

Let $W=(W_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a supercritical $\alpha$-stable Dawson-Watanabe process (with $\alpha\in(0,2]$) and $f$ be a test function in the domain of $-(-\Delta)^{\frac \alpha2}$ satisfying some integrability condition. Assuming the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-01 Khoa Lê

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of the asymptotic behavior of a delayed wave equation without the presence of any position term. First, it is shown that the problem is well-posed in the sense of semigroups theory. Thereafter,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-10-11 Kaïs Ammari , Boumediène Chentouf

We study the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property for the likelihood function associated with discretely observed $d$-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations over a fixed time interval. The model involves a joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Akram Heidari , Mark Podolskij

We provide sufficient conditions for the existence of invariant probability measures for generic stochastic differential equations with finite time delay. This is achieved by means of the Krylov-Bogoliubov method. Furthermore, we focus on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Mark van den Bosch , Onno van Gaans , Sjoerd Verduyn Lunel

We study the large time asymptotic behavior of the solutions of the linear parabolic equation with delay $(*)$: $u_{t}(t,x) = u_{xx}(t,x) - u(t,x) + \int_{\mathbb{R}} k(x-y) \, u (t-h, y)\, dy$, $x \in \R$, $\ t >0$, and $k(x) \in L^1(\R)$.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Rafael Benguria , Abraham Solar

Let $X=\{X_{t},t\in R_{+}\}$ be a symmetric L\'{e}vy process with local time $\{L^{x}_{t} ; (x,t)\in R^{1}\times R^{1}_{+}\}$. When the L\'{e}vy exponent $\psi(\la)$ is regularly varying at zero with index $1<\beta\leq 2$, and satisfies…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

We study sufficient conditions for local asymptotic mixed normality. We weaken the sufficient conditions in Theorem 1 of Jeganathan (Sankhya Ser. A 1982) so that they can be applied to a wider class of statistical models including a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Teppei Ogihara , Yuma Uehara

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

This paper presents asymptotic properties of the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator of a vector $\Vect{\theta}$ parameterizing a stationary Gibbs point process. Sufficient conditions, expressed in terms of the local energy function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rémy Drouilhet

A Markov-switching observation-driven model is a stochastic process $((S_t,Y_t))_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ where $(S_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an unobserved Markov chain on a finite set and $(Y_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an observed stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Frederik Krabbe

In this paper we consider a class of non-local in time telegraph equations. Recently, it has been proved that the fundamental solutions of such equations can be interpreted as the probability density function of a stochastic process. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Francisco Alegría , Juan C. Pozo