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We study kinetic models for traffic flow characterized by the property of producing backward propagating waves. These waves may be identified with the phenomenon of stop-and-go waves typically observed on highways. In particular, a refined…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-02-10 M. Herty , G. Puppo , G. Visconti

We construct a Hunt process that can be described as an isotropic $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process reflected from the complement of a bounded open Lipschitz set. In fact, we introduce a new analytic method for concatenating Markov processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Krzysztof Bogdan , Markus Kunze

There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas

The velocity-jump model is a specific type of piecewise deterministic Markov process in which an individual's velocity is constant except at times that form the events of some point process. It represents an interpretable continuous-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Paul G. Blackwell

Let $S_N$ be the sum of vector-valued functions defined on a finite Markov chain. An analogue of the Bernstein--Hoeffding inequality is derived for the probability of large deviations of $S_N$ and relates the probability to the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladislav Kargin

We propose a model based on coupled multiplicative stochastic processes to understand the dynamics of competing species in an ecosystem. This process can be conveniently described by a Fokker-Planck equation. We provide an analytical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-13 Simone Pigolotti , Alessandro Flammini , Amos Maritan

The paper is devoted to the study of Darwinian evolution in two mathematical models. The first one is a variation on the Malthusian population growth model with Verhulst's environmental capacity. The second model is grounded in the theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mateusz Krukowski

We introduce the notion of order of magnitude reversibility (OM-reversibility) in Markov chains that are parametrized by a positive parameter $\ep$. OM-reversibility is a weaker condition than reversibility, and requires only the knowledge…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Badal Joshi

This paper analyses a $(1,\lambda)$-Evolution Strategy, a randomised comparison-based adaptive search algorithm, on a simple constraint optimisation problem. The algorithm uses resampling to handle the constraint and optimizes a linear…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

We present a class of stochastic processes in which the large deviation functions of time-integrated observables exhibit singularities that relate to dynamical phase transitions of trajectories. These illustrative examples include Brownian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-24 Yogeesh Reddy Yerrababu , Satya N. Majumdar , Benjamin Guiselin , Tridib Sadhu

Many biological and medical questions can be modeled using time-to-event data in finite-state Markov chains, with the phase-type distribution describing intervals between events. We solve the inverse problem: given a phase-type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Ovidiu Radulescu , Dima Grigoriev , Matthias Seiss , Maria Douaihy , Mounia Lagha , Edouard Bertrand

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Reaction-diffusion equations describe various spatially extended processes that unfold as traveling fronts moving at constant velocity. We introduce and solve analytically a model that, besides such fronts, supports solutions advancing as…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Louis Brezin , Kyle J. Shaffer , Kirill S. Korolev

Radical shifts in the genetic composition of large cell populations are rare events with quite low probabilities, which direct numerical simulations generally fail to evaluate accurately. In this paper, we develop a theoretical large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Robert Azencott , Brett Geiger , Ilya Timofeyev

We study stationary distributions in the context of stochastic reaction networks. In particular, we are interested in complex balanced reaction networks and reduction of such networks by assuming a set of species (called non-interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Linard Hoessly , Carsten Wiuf , Panqiu Xia

We study the exponential dissipation of entropic functionals for continuous time Markov chains and the associated convex Sobolev inequalities, including MLSI and Beckner inequalities. We propose a method that combines the Bakry \'Emery…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Giovanni Conforti

We define a conjugate prior for the reversible Markov chain of order $r$. The prior arises from a partially exchangeable reinforced random walk, in the same way that the Beta distribution arises from the exchangeable Poly\'{a} urn. An…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Sergio Bacallado

In this paper, we abstract a kind of stochastic processes from evolving processes of growing networks, this process is called growing network Markov chains. Thus the existence and the formulas of degree distribution are transformed to the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Zhenting Hou , Xiangxing Kong , Dinghua Shi , Guanrong Chen , Qinggui Zhao

We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Mathieu Faure , Sebastian J. Schreiber

This paper considers the subexponential asymptotics of the stationary distributions of GI/G/1-type Markov chains in two cases: (i) the phase transition matrix in non-boundary levels is stochastic; and (ii) it is strictly substochastic. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Tatsuaki Kimura , Hiroyuki Masuyama , Yutaka Takahashi