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This paper studies a discrete model of a large dam where the difference between lower and upper levels, $L$, is assumed to be large. Passage across the levels leads to damage, and the damage costs of crossing the lower or upper level are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-09 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

In this paper, we introduce a risk process, namely, the mixed fractional risk process (MFRP) in which the number of claims in the associated claim process are modelled using the mixed fractional Poisson process (MFPP). The covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Wenhao Li , Bolong Wang , Tianxiang Shen , Ronghua Zhu , Dehui Wang

This paper proposes and studies an optimal dividend problem in which a two-state regime-switching environment affects the dynamics of the company's cash surplus and, as a novel feature, also the bankruptcy level. The aim is to maximize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giorgio Ferrari , Patrick Schuhmann , Shihao Zhu

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem, is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bi-variate set…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-02 Dhiti Osatakul , Shuanming Li , Xueyuan Wu

This paper examines a heterogeneous beliefs model in which there is a process that is only partially observed by the agents. The economy contains a risky asset producing dividends continuously in time. The dividends are observed by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-29 A. A. Brown

The Pareto model is very popular in risk management, since simple analytical formulas can be derived for financial downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall) or reinsurance premiums and related quantities (Large Claim Index,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-30 Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire

A model of open economics composed of producers and speculators is investigated by numerical simulations. The capital flows from the environment to the producers and from them to the speculators. The price fluctuations are suppressed by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Frantisek Slanina , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We theorize the financial health of a company and the risk of its default. A company is financially healthy as long as its equilibrium in the financial system is maintained, which depends on the cost attributable to the probability that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-21 Gianmarco Bet , Francesco Dainelli , Eugenio Fabrizi

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…

In this article we differentiate and characterize the standard two-process serial models and the standard two process parallel models by investigating the behavior of (conditional) distributions of the total completion times and survivals…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Ru Zhang , Yanjun Liu , James T. Townsend

We study the generalization of the G/G/1 queue obtained by relaxing the assumption of independence between inter-arrival times and service requirements. The analysis is carried out for the class of multivariate matrix exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 E. S. Badila , O. J. Boxma , J. A. C. Resing

Taking as a hypothesis a form of the labour theory of value, and $without$ $assuming$ $equilibrium$, we derive an equation that yields the profit-rate $\pi$ as a function of time. For a mature economy, $\pi(t)$ reduces to the product of two…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-09 Rafael D. Sorkin

In many insurance contexts, dependence between risks of a portfolio may arise from their frequencies. We investigate a dependent risk model in which we assume the vector of count variables to be a tree-structured Markov random field with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Hélène Cossette , Benjamin Côté , Alexandre Dubeau , Etienne Marceau

Every time drivers take to the road, and with each mile that they drive, exposes themselves and others to the risk of an accident. Insurance premiums are only weakly linked to mileage, however, and have lump-sum characteristics largely. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-11 Safoora Zarei , Ali R. Fallahi

We propose a method to assess the intrinsic risk carried by a financial position $X$ when the agent faces uncertainty about the pricing rule assigning its present value. Our approach is inspired by a new interpretation of the quasiconvex…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-17 Marco Frittelli , Marco Maggis

This paper provides a survey of known results and open problems for the two-type Richardson model, which is a stochastic model for competition on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. In its simplest formulation, the Richardson model describes the evolution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström

This paper presents a new copula to model dependencies between insurance entities, by considering how insurance entities are affected by both macro and micro factors. The model used to build the copula assumes that the insurance losses of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Samiha Ismail , Gao Yu , Gesine Reinert , Trevor Maynard

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann