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We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

We introduce a new measure of distance between datasets, based on vineyards from topological data analysis, which we call the vineyard distance. Vineyard distance measures the extent of topological change along an interpolation from one…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Alvan Arulandu , Daniel Gottschalk , Thomas Payne , Alexander Richardson , Thomas Weighill

We examine the dependence structure of finite block-maxima of multivariate distributions. We provide a closed form expression for the copula density of the vector of the block-maxima. Further, we show how partial derivatives of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-14 Matthias Killiches , Claudia Czado

In the last decade, simplified vine copula models have been an active area of research. They build a high dimensional probability density from the product of marginals densities and bivariate copula densities. Besides parametric models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Thomas Nagler , Christian Schellhase , Claudia Czado

In recent years, conditional copulas, that allow dependence between variables to vary according to the values of one or more covariates, have attracted increasing attention. In high dimension, vine copulas offer greater flexibility compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Rosario Barone , Luciana Dalla Valle

Simplified vine copulas are flexible tools over standard multivariate distributions for modeling and understanding different dependence properties in high-dimensional data. Their conditional distributions are of utmost importance, from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Ariane Hanebeck , Özge Şahin , Petra Havlíčková , Claudia Czado

We present a vine copula based composite likelihood approach to model spatial dependencies, which allows to perform prediction at arbitrary locations. This approach combines established methods to model (spatial) dependencies. On the one…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Tobias Michael Erhardt , Claudia Czado , Ulf Schepsmeier

The majority of finite mixture models suffer from not allowing asymmetric tail dependencies within components and not capturing non-elliptical clusters in clustering applications. Since vine copulas are very flexible in capturing these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

Vine copulas are pair-copula constructions enabling multivariate dependence modeling in terms of bivariate building blocks. One of the main tasks of fitting a vine copula is the selection of a suitable tree structure. For this the prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

Vine copulas are a flexible tool for multivariate non-Gaussian distributions. For data from an observational study where the explanatory variables and response variables are measured together, a proposed vine copula regression method uses…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-30 Bo Chang , Harry Joe

Vine copulas, constructed using bivariate copulas as building blocks, provide a flexible framework for modeling multi-dimensional dependencies. However, this flexibility is accompanied by rapidly increasing complexity as dimensionality…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Ichiro Nishi , Yoshinori Kawasaki

This paper proposes multivariate copula models for hierarchical data. They account for two types of correlation: one is between variables measured on the same unit and the other is a correlation between units in the same cluster. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Talagbe Gabin Akpo , Louis-Paul Rivest

We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

A pair-copula construction is a decomposition of a multivariate copula into a structured system, called regular vine, of bivariate copulae or pair-copulae. The standard practice is to model these pair-copulae parametrically, which comes at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-26 Ingrid Hobaek Haff , Johan Segers

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for regular vine (R-vine) copula models, a flexible class of multivariate copulas based on a pair-copula construction (PCC). The test arises from the information matrix ratio. The corresponding test…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-24 Ulf Schepsmeier

We address an important yet challenging problem - modeling high-dimensional dependencies across multivariates such as financial indicators in heterogeneous markets. In reality, a market couples and influences others over time, and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jia Xu , Longbing Cao

Practical applications of nonparametric density estimators in more than three dimensions suffer a great deal from the well-known curse of dimensionality: convergence slows down as dimension increases. We show that one can evade the curse of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-24 Thomas Nagler , Claudia Czado

In copula modeling, the simplifying assumption has recently been the object of much interest. Although it is very useful to reduce the computational burden, it remains far from obvious whether it is actually satisfied in practice. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Alexis Derumigny

The multivariate Hilbert-Schmidt-Independence-Criterion (dHSIC) and distance multivariance allow to measure and test independence of an arbitrary number of random vectors with arbitrary dimensions. Here we define versions which only depend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Björn Böttcher

Vine copulas are flexible dependence models using bivariate copulas as building blocks. If the parameters of the bivariate copulas in the vine copula depend on covariates, one obtains a conditional vine copula. We propose an extension for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß